TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$491,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$402,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x92a0…5218backed Yes2c25,459$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.5120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8a…23debacked Yes2c17,059$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.51120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes24c8,888$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f4…9c0dbacked Yes2c7,040$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes2c6,170$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.91110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fe…6b61backed Yes2c6,028$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.41130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8e…a744backed Yes11c5,847$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a49…ca09backed Yes2c5,690$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes1c5,662$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.84100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8650…b3f7backed Yes2c5,276$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3870%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes2c5,257$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.67100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…547abacked Yes1c4,709$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes2c4,605$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8925311.5%29 W · 224 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No75c4,369$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.2325528.2%72 W · 183 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68c…6f66backed Yes14c4,237$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa847…88a5backed Yes34c3,703$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-51.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd42…aaa1backed Yes10c3,206$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…1339backed Yes18c3,140$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes5c2,768$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.721145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae19…11aebacked Yes1c2,737$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa909…6badbacked Yes2c2,688$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.66100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…d774backed Yes1c2,669$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aed…b8bfbacked Yes1c2,618$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bef…9a71backed Yes5c2,566$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.02933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes2c2,529$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.92425%6 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+101.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46b1…d9edbacked Yes1c2,499$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218f…7ef2backed No69c2,350$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.77633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f1…572abacked Yes3c2,230$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes4c2,229$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0813910.8%15 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433c…aa4cbacked Yes1c2,040$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3991…8deebacked Yes1c2,040$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68c…f3e9backed Yes37c1,861$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c1,743$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.975327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked Yes13c1,687$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.583148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5d…5244backed Yes2c1,667$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcc…5b93backed No72c1,568$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6225…5eb6backed Yes1c1,564$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4460%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a33…fd9cbacked Yes1c1,513$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes1c1,465$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.133920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb5…bdcdbacked Yes2c1,415$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes1c1,394$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.770%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked No78c1,079$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.659138.5%35 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes2c1,038$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No59c1,013$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.949037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes4c1,007$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.892313%3 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ad…d2cabacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes13c993.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1360%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85ad…6e03backed Yes2c982.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x474e…9b94backed Yes7c967.55$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes4c957.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8980%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551e…b0e0backed No63c949.02$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.962055%11 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes4c911.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.914628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x276b…e119backed Yes2c897$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18d…9863backed Yes4c839.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07bd…b49fbacked Yes1c815.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.260%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe306…627ebacked No72c805$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes10c780$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.321426.2%56 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8902…2054backed Yes3c765$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked No71c758.23$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes6c757.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3539429.4%116 W · 278 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…a332backed Yes3c699$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes11c676.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.135119.6%10 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb94f…53ecbacked Yes3c650$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x716c…65cabacked Yes12c642.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb97c…f653backed Yes3c636$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d7…a6aebacked Yes2c633$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b3…b352backed Yes4c627$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0780…0cb4backed Yes26c623.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes3c611.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.551811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes3c604.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa92e…b018backed Yes11c586.08$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a53…58d0backed Yes4c526$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb82…3e8dbacked Yes4c524$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa7…e039backed Yes4c512$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…f088backed Yes26c510$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…9c74backed Yes3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742e…d383backed Yes3c497$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd5…b28abacked Yes3c489$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbab…7f07backed Yes3c486$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ced…8d48backed Yes5c483.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42df…e54abacked Yes4c482.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8241…96d3backed Yes4c470$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe101…c359backed Yes3c448$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe58f…f5f7backed Yes3c441$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…e49bbacked Yes4c438.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70da…ee7abacked Yes4c431$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebd…2347backed Yes4c426$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…8043backed Yes4c424$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes13c422$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78fa…1543backed Yes4c422$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1b…a675backed Yes4c418$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e5…76c1backed Yes3c417.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes3c400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.250%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eba…d195backed Yes3c392$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x878f…df3cbacked Yes3c392$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f0…cbc6backed Yes4c387$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed No75c386$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.56933.3%23 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…107abacked Yes4c378$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde07…2809backed Yes4c375$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.