Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eef49dc2985cf401e827441c8a74fe8f74317cde62ee5e8d84263c6c96584f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3f…da87backed Yes | 9c | 14,277$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…13dbbacked Yes | 1c | 7,126$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…94c7backed Yes | 1c | 7,100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 6,136$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 9c | 5,934$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.66 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,938$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,244$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…346cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,001$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…75debacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed Yes | 1c | 1,061$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 7c | 999.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…2e62backed Yes | 5c | 931.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 7c | 890.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 2c | 841$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 801.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 788.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 4c | 777$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 646.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 612.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes | 6c | 608.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes | 8c | 602.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 5c | 493.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…bcc2backed Yes | 51c | 493.66$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf5…0951backed Yes | 7c | 469$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 434.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…2eadbacked Yes | 7c | 392$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…3814backed Yes | 6c | 355$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bd…2ac5backed Yes | 6c | 343.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 11c | 329.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 6c | 323.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…6091backed Yes | 7c | 310$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…8442backed Yes | 7c | 299.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dad…2761backed Yes | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…69e3backed Yes | 7c | 285$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…a07cbacked Yes | 6c | 283$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…fd1dbacked Yes | 7c | 282$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 7c | 273.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…7e79backed Yes | 4c | 266$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc232…638dbacked Yes | 4c | 264$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…35e9backed Yes | 5c | 258$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3796…c791backed Yes | 7c | 244$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…3da2backed Yes | 9c | 233.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…a05cbacked Yes | 6c | 228$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…1405backed Yes | 6c | 226$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…28e0backed Yes | 7c | 217$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…bbc1backed Yes | 6c | 199$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…507ebacked Yes | 7c | 188$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…8ec1backed Yes | 7c | 174$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked No | 77c | 173.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…f6c8backed Yes | 7c | 168$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b4f5backed Yes | 9c | 151.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 73c | 144.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…f4dcbacked Yes | 11c | 133.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 12c | 130.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 31c | 126.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 38cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4de9backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…4f68backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…4ba2backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…5990backed Yes | 12c | 84.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?this page
- Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with María Corina Machado in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.