TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$471,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed2f…9d1bbacked No2c32,304$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.2450%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e8…14f0backed No22c28,500$6,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,405.651560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes65c15,796$10,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,522.712927.9%36 W · 93 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes72c8,996$6,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.8710137.6%38 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b92…42e6backed No17c8,627$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.954511.1%5 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x249c…2783backed No12c7,164$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.57540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked No2c6,421$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.121931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed No4c5,858$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.734443.2%19 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd44e…67e2backed No34c5,806$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.5514456.9%82 W · 62 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed No2c5,546$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.213910.8%15 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5861…66efbacked No41c5,345$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes74c5,246$3,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.739138.5%35 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed No1c5,183$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.41651.5%1 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick7cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed No35c4,848$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97c6…a3abbacked No2c4,615$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No9c4,556$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.3214121.3%30 W · 111 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed No27c4,390$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.14757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No33c4,190$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.926835.1%94 W · 174 L-38.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x066a…550dbacked No46c4,159$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes70c4,152$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-71.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6803417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf23a…d3f8backed No43c3,859$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked No2c3,681$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.972259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No52c3,499$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.38641.9%36 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf950…81d1backed No30c3,427$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.761631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a8…00c7backed No44c3,416$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.623762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes58c3,334$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.764045%18 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc9c…a734backed No14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12bf…ddafbacked No2c2,900$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1815125.2%38 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked No29c2,882$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…b63dbacked No9c2,682$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.982532%8 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No21c2,666$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.843745.9%17 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+20.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked No6c2,654$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.78200%0 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes56c2,425$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.679037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed No2c2,350$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453724.3%9 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed No56c2,207$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.3111050.9%56 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8920…bdb2backed Yes74c2,176$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.221250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcffb…a6bebacked Yes48c2,069$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No1c2,030$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.369932.3%32 W · 67 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bae…5d34backed Yes75c2,000$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.211450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3374…5f24backed No24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes35c1,981$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.62540%10 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c15…c9dbbacked No3c1,831$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No23c1,664$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.5580%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c55…fbfbbacked No74c1,600$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb2…682cbacked No65c1,552$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.251526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed No21c1,541$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.054146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes32c1,518$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.6110812%13 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e2…ccc7backed No11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ce…b393backed No60c1,445$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No20c1,416$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6126318.3%48 W · 215 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes46c1,406$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.27922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No44c1,391$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x037d…887ebacked Yes63c1,362$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.13520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-68.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e6…8675backed Yes74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed No10c1,334$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.297733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00a…c77cbacked No15c1,320$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x11e8…5b74backed No70c1,314$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.541560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Yes60c1,249$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.661330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Yes60c1,142$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.943154.8%17 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+38.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes41c1,117$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.723444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes63c1,113$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.42650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x358a…d45fbacked No38c1,086$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.811353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No13c1,013$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.572313%3 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5f…afbfbacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed No3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed No20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003729.7%11 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+134.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3aea…f8ecbacked No10c999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc9…cd6abacked No3c992.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed Yes65c989.36$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.912231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick25cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd79…92f9backed No3c934.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7aa…231cbacked No22c920.23$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+147%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes62c867.1$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.672157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed No47c856.88$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.5726238.5%101 W · 161 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2884…d0c3backed Yes57c849.99$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.275356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9331…a691backed No5c833.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Yes37c823.93$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.9635341.9%148 W · 205 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe10b…5fe3backed No18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No63c799.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9915451.3%79 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No7c799.01$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9311530.4%35 W · 80 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No50c776.49$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2730837.7%116 W · 192 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No13c767.13$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.265327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No19c743.83$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1225528.2%72 W · 183 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa4b…3d1ebacked No3c735.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1955…aef1backed Yes28c726.87$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.835036%18 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5446…18f6backed Yes68c699.61$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.65520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-70.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked No31c699.52$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.844348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdec3…ebc5backed No3c665.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-71.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5e…64ddbacked Yes78c617.33$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes66c600$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c9…8beabacked Yes77c593.68$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.382138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No53c588.99$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.084533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed No9c564.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.563828.9%11 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa344…8141backed Yes67c550.42$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.532642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes57c547.39$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.126336.5%23 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes57c542.18$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.182839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes71c540.58$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.986033.3%20 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes72c537$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.095527.3%15 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdcb…e811backed Yes68c534.99$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes48c532.2$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.562642.3%11 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.