Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a38f6a4d1a11c40a9840129c148d573f4386000ebe466990478d7904a23ad3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5108…bb94backed Yes | 71c | 52,144$37,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,121.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…5487backed No | 29c | 52,144$15,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,121.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 65c | 5,471$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.6 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…8921backed Yes | 30c | 4,286$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 76c | 3,810$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed Yes | 60c | 3,693$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 0c | 3,637$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 30c | 2,773$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,889$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 21c | 1,850$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.17 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 3c | 1,679$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 69c | 1,566$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed No | 8c | 1,432$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 72c | 1,345$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.98 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 48c | 1,333$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.28 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,331$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.54 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,097$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.69 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,055$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.8 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 52c | 999.14$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.6 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 33c | 993.58$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.06 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 4c | 993.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 40c | 950.55$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 45c | 778.77$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…b7e6backed Yes | 38c | 737.9$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +199.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…ac66backed Yes | 14c | 700$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +593.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 44c | 638.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.07 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 18c | 469.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.63 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 29c | 458$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 12c | 432.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 48c | 425$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 14c | 361$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.83 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 39c | 302.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed No | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 6c | 271$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…2e3cbacked Yes | 65c | 250$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed No | 14c | 241.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 11c | 232.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…955cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 43c | 193.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 46c | 190.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 59c | 185.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…4cecbacked No | 37c | 172.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 55c | 171.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 41c | 167.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 20c | 155.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 72c | 151.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 40c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 77c | 146.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 22 | 95.5%21 W · 1 L | +5.9wins | +0.27per pick | 69cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 144$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…5e27backed No | 22c | 136.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 43c | 133.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 129.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 65c | 114.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 37c | 105.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…0872backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…2903backed Yes | 63c | 54.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 52c | 37.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…4d43backed Yes | 54c | 27.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?this page
- Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with María Corina Machado in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.