TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79de…324dbacked Yes78c34,145$26,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,511.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa083…0795backed No22c34,145$7,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,511.930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed No16c6,215$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.111040%44 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes72c4,260$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.842157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x461a…4030backed No3c3,381$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7460%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No13c2,800$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9926835.1%94 W · 174 L-38.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x542a…a81bbacked No1c2,796$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No26c1,894$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2624258.7%142 W · 100 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No26c1,553$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.524459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed No21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No17c765.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.55729.7%7 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-71.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed No4c418$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.04166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfe…5e2fbacked Yes69c399.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes69c303.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.243348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No9c275.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.425528.2%72 W · 183 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No10c244.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5111542.6%49 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7b…5824backed Yes69c244.29$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.993066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No15c231$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3341736.2%151 W · 266 L-25.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No19c197.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.59037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f5…2e05backed No31c169.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5c…44d2backed Yes70c125.71$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.28641.9%36 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff82…19c0backed No31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.250%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffb5…7742backed No31c114.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d28…a1bfbacked Yes76c112$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…7629backed No31c106.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b24…0e6ebacked Yes76c101$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…d918backed Yes80c100.6$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d62…e937backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e73…a236backed Yes61c97.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a0b…2231backed No31c95.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcc…fb67backed Yes70c79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…c059backed Yes70c76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c13…f826backed Yes69c73.22$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb555…e61bbacked Yes60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.34953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe046…786bbacked Yes76c69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1f…aa60backed Yes59c67.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf409…1ed0backed Yes70c67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4616…3524backed Yes76c62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf12…5d76backed No31c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x047a…2093backed No31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…526cbacked No31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ec…3aa2backed No31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c30…9310backed No31c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…cae7backed Yes70c34.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a2…46ffbacked Yes70c31.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd8…b4e6backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe50…e960backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b20…ce8dbacked Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da3…bb41backed Yes70c27.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff0d…8948backed Yes70c25.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7e…91fabacked Yes70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87350.7%37 W · 36 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf469…4c2fbacked Yes70c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa273…8e77backed Yes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1996…ddf3backed Yes70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.