TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fcc…5b93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Tweets at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST9966.7%66 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+102.5%+$32.06
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+79.8%+$40.32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$137.7
LoL: Verdant vs Bulldog Esports (BO5) - NLC Playoffsbacked Verdant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+27.2%+$32.23
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$92.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.7%+$149.95
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.32
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+27.1%+$25.6
LoL: Vantex Esports vs ZeroZone Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+64.9%+$163.02
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+84.5%+$87
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$134.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+188.5%+$78.4
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$28.6
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.5%+$18.53
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.9
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.3
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.9%+$101.79
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.9
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2532%8 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.94
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.67
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.43
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $370-385m by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+269.9%+$370.94
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.94
Will 'The Amateur' make between $13-16m on its domestic opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+159.8%+$102.96
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 48-64m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 64-70m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.7
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+558.9%+$144.2
Will 'A Working Man' gross between 14-17m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will 'Magazine Dreams' gross less than 1m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+232%+$464
Will 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will 'Novocaine' gross more than 11m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 20-24m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will 'Mickey 17' gross more than 24m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will 'Rule Breakers' gross between 6-9m on its opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Will 'Last Breath' between 6-9m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+342.7%+$68.54
Will 'Last Breath' gross more than 9m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+68%+$124.86
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$409.54
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51.4
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.6%+$22.11
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.96
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.72
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO1) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.9%+$36.15
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+40.8%+$34.31
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$198.13
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will Newcastle vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$158
Will Brighton vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$355.96
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+114.2%+$197.3
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Southampton win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.7
Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$146
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
Will Brentford win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56.43
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+30.8%+$49.4
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+48.4%+$20.37
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37.2%+$54.2
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$43.87
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.8
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$479.5
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2025, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.51
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.09
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.32
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.96
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,227.23
Will Trump endorse Conor McGregor for President of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.4
TikTok sale announced before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$332.06
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$207.82
Will China counter tariff the U.S. in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$284.96
Trump pauses any reciprocal tariff before Wednesday? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$75
Will Trump announce tariffs on Australia on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.36
Will Trump announce tariffs on Vietnam on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.95
Will Trump announce tariffs on Venezuela on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$24.97
Epstein files released this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+71.7%+$16.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$88.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$219.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.