Us Politics · resolved market
TikTok sale announced before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec449f17ee1b738bb72421ab991c56204cdf1369e4eba267607e72885d98d93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,156,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,197,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,156,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67ec…157fbacked Yes | 37c | 82,156$30,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,397.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…6ebebacked No | 63c | 82,156$51,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,397.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 67c | 79,904$53,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,075.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 61c | 56,562$34,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,613.78 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…235bbacked No | 35c | 56,530$20,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,471.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 24c | 43,992$10,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,647.98 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed No | 72c | 30,702$22,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,551.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 30,527$24,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.06 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 30,499$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.42 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…0261backed No | 66c | 27,358$18,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,308.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 21c | 23,534$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.67 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 35c | 21,923$7,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,566.16 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 25c | 18,084$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,576 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 73c | 16,751$12,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 31c | 16,412$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.21 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 48c | 16,308$7,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,527.05 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 69c | 14,123$9,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 79c | 11,261$8,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.53 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked No | 62c | 11,023$6,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 48c | 10,001$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.3 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 32c | 7,793$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.06 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 29c | 7,744$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 43c | 7,503$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.23 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed No | 75c | 6,677$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 64c | 6,627$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.54 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 65c | 6,497$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255.57 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 80c | 6,392$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…33f2backed No | 72c | 6,038$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…17dabacked Yes | 65c | 6,000$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 8c | 5,900$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…7f0fbacked No | 69c | 5,650$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 31c | 5,230$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.2 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…af39backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.78 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 26c | 4,584$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.22 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 66c | 4,536$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 34c | 4,517$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.91 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 77c | 4,450$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes | 61c | 4,232$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 79c | 4,131$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.89 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…b4e3backed Yes | 64c | 3,965$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 35c | 3,852$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.61 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed No | 58c | 3,761$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 33c | 3,729$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.61 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…8b7bbacked No | 76c | 3,672$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…1252backed No | 68c | 3,632$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 69c | 3,585$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 50c | 3,417$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.33 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 57c | 3,194$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.05 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…6021backed Yes | 6c | 3,187$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…dad8backed Yes | 32c | 3,007$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.82 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 37c | 2,893$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.42 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…ba9abacked Yes | 38c | 2,649$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 39c | 2,597$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.14 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 65c | 2,537$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 32c | 2,514$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.15 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 7c | 2,496$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 12c | 2,430$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.72 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…b4a3backed No | 33c | 2,397$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.84 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…8844backed Yes | 25c | 2,368$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…a467backed Yes | 16c | 2,326$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…20abbacked Yes | 28c | 2,300$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…6ca2backed No | 64c | 2,282$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.94 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…e927backed No | 33c | 2,257$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,222$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 31c | 2,222$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddd…76b2backed No | 71c | 2,186$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed No | 64c | 2,031$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.89 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 74c | 1,964$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 58c | 1,944$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.44 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked Yes | 9c | 1,934$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d19…fd49backed No | 64c | 1,878$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…b363backed No | 74c | 1,850$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…8921backed Yes | 26c | 1,750$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…de23backed Yes | 78c | 1,749$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 61c | 1,714$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +951.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…20b7backed No | 80c | 1,695$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…7690backed Yes | 30c | 1,673$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 26c | 1,652$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.52 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,645$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed No | 71c | 1,641$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 25c | 1,633$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.17 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,600$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 65c | 1,562$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.08 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 58c | 1,469$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.17 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd62…2b7ebacked No | 73c | 1,444$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 33c | 1,411$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 32c | 1,392$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.42 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,377$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…bce4backed Yes | 1c | 1,350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,333$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.69 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 64c | 1,304$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.8 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.