Us Politics · resolved market
Epstein files released this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1eb4bc63060d5148217c605e933893cdf7d420b4c4e16e9092c28499dcb0bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73cb…02ccbacked Yes | 10c | 5,496$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 10c | 3,563$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…56afbacked Yes | 16c | 2,571$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 20c | 1,715$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.76 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,509$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 16c | 1,200$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 19c | 1,049$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.66 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,008$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 18c | 999.04$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab3…ad68backed Yes | 21c | 987.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ae03backed Yes | 20c | 895.79$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.96 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f3…ada9backed Yes | 19c | 738.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…752bbacked Yes | 25c | 624.29$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 78c | 599.99$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 24c | 556.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 23c | 528.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 24c | 523.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed Yes | 21c | 499.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…53bcbacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 19c | 369$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…e7eebacked Yes | 17c | 355.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…49a4backed Yes | 19c | 320$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked No | 80c | 292.65$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked No | 76c | 280$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 27c | 277$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…4a6abacked Yes | 20c | 261$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 18c | 227.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 24c | 222.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 75c | 221.3$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…30e5backed Yes | 20c | 211.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…a3aebacked Yes | 23c | 190.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…7e59backed No | 79c | 182.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 29c | 173.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 20c | 148.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b84…71eabacked No | 80c | 147$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…1800backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 77c | 136.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed No | 77c | 129.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…543fbacked Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…492cbacked No | 80c | 114$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…fcc0backed Yes | 15c | 109.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…7ef7backed Yes | 23c | 106.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…5d1ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…a8b6backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 77c | 87.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…8fc7backed No | 73c | 86.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…2589backed Yes | 24c | 79.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed No | 78c | 77.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2c7cbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 23c | 60.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…1b02backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…80cfbacked No | 79c | 58.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda5…56a7backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…61e2backed No | 76c | 49.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…4f11backed Yes | 22c | 44.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Yes | 26c | 44.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…377fbacked No | 79c | 43.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…6096backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed No | 77c | 38.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce85…d2a2backed No | 79c | 36.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…8857backed No | 77c | 34.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…5935backed No | 79c | 33.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa551…5f98backed Yes | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…48bcbacked No | 73c | 30.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…5fbdbacked Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…b1bbbacked No | 79c | 27.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…1126backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c3…7c98backed No | 74c | 27.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…dec8backed No | 79c | 27.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…adcfbacked No | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea4…30efbacked No | 79c | 26.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde7…ec9bbacked No | 78c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…dca0backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…13fabacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…06b0backed No | 77c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…4d97backed No | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…adb0backed No | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6237…2871backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…0310backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f5…987ebacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023b…5ab1backed No | 78c | 19.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…4cbebacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…7bb1backed No | 79c | 17.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…8b08backed No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…3831backed No | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…7bf6backed No | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +135%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.