Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c8436a10c08c82b5563a69b009b4224e739b809e2249ee37c07aea7d3bd396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b0…bffebacked Yes | 26c | 10,020$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,414.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…db27backed Yes | 26c | 10,005$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,403.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…b574backed No | 74c | 10,005$7,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,403.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…cf55backed No | 74c | 10,002$7,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,401.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 40c | 5,876$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.71 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 48c | 4,557$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.66 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed No | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 35c | 1,841$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.81 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 53c | 1,084$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.42 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…4623backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Yes | 35c | 815.52$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 74c | 802.84$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.1 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 360.92$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.47 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 68c | 350.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 62c | 263.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 80c | 253.27$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 76c | 243.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 24c | 208$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 27c | 207.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked No | 76c | 200$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 24c | 198.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 60c | 189.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 26c | 187$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…d76dbacked Yes | 26c | 172.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33b4…84ebbacked Yes | 25c | 146.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +295.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 75c | 140$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed No | 75c | 61.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c5…9b23backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…dc52backed No | 74c | 59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Yes | 80c | 53.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…d528backed No | 74c | 51.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Yes | 26c | 51.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a90backed Yes | 80c | 44.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x475d…eaaebacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…2f37backed Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1003…8965backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-04-06?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.