Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82859ba2b20db9b5dc55cbd61b01cee5564aef602a88a35cd708d5e8ad9af6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 5,379$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.77 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 4,050$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 29c | 2,202$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.07 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 69c | 1,520$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.59 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 1,221$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.09 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 29c | 899.97$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 66c | 498.58$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.39 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 31c | 335.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fa61backed No | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed No | 70c | 178.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed No | 73c | 154.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 73c | 136.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 72c | 119.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 37c | 118.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 115.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 40c | 88.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 70c | 87.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 68c | 85.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…7afdbacked No | 72c | 69.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 32c | 61.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 68c | 58.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…7f5ebacked Yes | 34c | 51.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 70c | 28.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-04-06?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.