TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f79…1608backed Yes45c20,881$9,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,377.581450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No55c18,872$10,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,492.5811454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c16,313$9,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,283.1879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes45c10,698$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,814.12556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes45c10,001$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No54c7,176$3,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.3313547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70013857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No57c4,142$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.8537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes45c4,006$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes43c3,750$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.4941437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c3,306$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.841,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Yes44c3,206$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.451844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes41c3,049$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.616741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No58c2,732$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.8930851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No62c1,799$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.838645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c1,633$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.2283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…d81bbacked No54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes47c1,499$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Yes38c1,308$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No54c999.98$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No54c999.95$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes44c999.87$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.487652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes42c999.12$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.0929044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No54c801$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.6217447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes41c656.54$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.183935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked No54c600$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2791747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a8…4673backed Yes46c542.31$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dc4…3c1dbacked No54c510.6$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.62142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23011761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa64…7643backed Yes44c480.01$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ffc…18f3backed No56c480$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No64c448.76$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2416851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No61c403.92$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6314953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes41c400$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes43c332.05$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.679949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes46c329.24$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.456741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No61c310.65$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.220744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14121153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1388747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x583b…1a59backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked No57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.165642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x68f7…5e86backed Yes46c218.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.73812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009357%53 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes42c215.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5621445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes46c205.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.555349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes35c200.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9732822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes41c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.85151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No54c166$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Yes37c160$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes42c146.66$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.618752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes41c143.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.972240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Yes39c125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-79%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xabd4…853dbacked Yes45c115.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No64c103.64$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.314663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364062.5%25 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c71…0cf9backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes46c95.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4432737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No55c90.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.926247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed No65c84.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.627252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3218232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e36…3ef0backed No66c75.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No61c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6318260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd249…6a90backed Yes45c66.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.322466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc99d…5d6bbacked Yes45c66.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1003…8965backed Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1cd8backed Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6176…79e9backed Yes36c52.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes40c50.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.099334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed No56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1276…6d30backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6e7…55a3backed Yes46c44.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes39c43.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.140135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2877…f337backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.