TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd132…2cb5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT7346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Bluesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.99
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$72
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+141.4%+$28.28
Flyers vs. Senatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Predators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Utah vs. Starsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT4247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.6
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.33
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Southampton win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Everton win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$14.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+100%+$12.35
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+151.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+297.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.03
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+900%+$180
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$19.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.