NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dcbed42457dbd4ff494ffeae2e54bc5ed1f0760fab8e8da90d2629274ebb8ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 32,532$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.86 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…ae48backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 21,175$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 13,493$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.61 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 10,299$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.49 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 7,077$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.21 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Trail Blazers | 9c | 5,470$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.3 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 3,023$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.57 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.88 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Trail Blazers | 9c | 2,505$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.93 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 2,171$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.71 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,991$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,728$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Trail Blazers | 3c | 1,710$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…976cbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,549$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 1,264$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 882.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 748.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 730.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 591$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 553.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 529.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 437.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 412.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 408$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 405$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 403.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 355$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 9c | 351.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 351$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 335.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Trail Blazers | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 280$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1718…6d49backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 247.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 198.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 76c | 160.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 114.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 113.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…fed3backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 97.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4246…4519backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 95.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 70c | 92.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.