Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2025-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e70ada2b3ccc654356b9a7353aa23ce027dc7cc7574016fff6cf1ba34962bc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 15c | 5,865$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.84 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 16c | 3,555$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.97 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 10c | 3,392$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 10c | 2,693$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.09 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 15c | 2,282$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 14c | 987.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 12c | 713.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 14c | 635$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 13c | 428.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 15c | 417.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 17c | 218.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…2198backed Yes | 15c | 137$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…b4febacked Yes | 15c | 104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 14c | 103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 15c | 95.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed27…14cbbacked Yes | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2025-04-12?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?Yes won
- Will Southampton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.