Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c89fdddb177ad8fea8119eb3eb2328b4a0901db93021351fa7bba39e76f3e36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 42c | 19,176$8,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,076.36 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 35c | 17,922$6,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.27 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 35c | 17,164$6,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.39 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 66c | 15,937$10,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,447.49 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 66c | 12,167$8,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.67 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 35c | 11,404$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.23 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 64c | 10,348$6,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Yes | 55c | 7,083$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed No | 41c | 4,900$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 60c | 4,896$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.15 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 62c | 4,684$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.66 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,716$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 63c | 3,470$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.33 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 64c | 3,030$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.65 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 37c | 2,784$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.98 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 36c | 2,775$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,667$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.62 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed No | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 64c | 2,380$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.08 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 64c | 2,359$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.62 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 34c | 2,043$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.91 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 37c | 1,968$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.1 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 30c | 1,945$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.27 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 65c | 1,704$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.33 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…dfa2backed Yes | 65c | 1,589$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7a…bf1fbacked No | 35c | 1,589$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 61c | 1,500$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 64c | 1,406$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…3e00backed No | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…1004backed Yes | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 59c | 1,262$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 63c | 875.96$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.96 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45e…64febacked Yes | 64c | 853.83$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 53c | 781.25$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.75 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 61c | 700$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 49c | 664.25$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.75 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 35c | 659.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 64c | 652.09$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 54c | 622.51$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.35 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 36c | 600.15$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.38 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 52c | 524.81$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.41 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 34c | 504$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 64c | 468$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 35c | 462.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…7587backed Yes | 64c | 454.45$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 63c | 451$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.87 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 61c | 395.9$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 64c | 346.56$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 35c | 304$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 35c | 272.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 65c | 267.2$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 63c | 253.15$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Yes | 64c | 250.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 64c | 243.75$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Yes | 61c | 237.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…d78dbacked Yes | 65c | 233.85$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 44c | 211.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 35c | 207.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 64c | 194.3$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 44c | 187.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 60c | 187.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 59c | 167.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 70c | 164.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 66c | 162.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 65c | 154.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…94a1backed No | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 38c | 149.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…447bbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd012…ba7dbacked Yes | 64c | 129.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 37c | 122$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…e16abacked Yes | 63c | 105.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 60c | 103.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 35c | 102.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…7e3cbacked Yes | 46c | 94.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 61c | 94.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 64c | 91.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 66c | 80.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked No | 36c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…71c7backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?this page
- Will Southampton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2025-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.