Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2881cb38535533865a47328b5d5b35eadec196381990b94ef8e9331b5176f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 51c | 26,539$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed No | 55c | 13,500$7,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,098.93 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 49c | 13,300$6,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,747.97 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 50c | 8,800$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 50c | 7,628$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.22 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed No | 53c | 6,557$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 50c | 6,342$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.66 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 47c | 5,856$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.85 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 51c | 4,849$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.63 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 45c | 4,651$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…1b3fbacked Yes | 46c | 4,057$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 46c | 3,093$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.59 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 63c | 2,838$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 51c | 2,661$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.64 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 46c | 2,538$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.52 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 44c | 2,180$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.98 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 51c | 2,073$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.39 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 50c | 1,862$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.25 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43b…784dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,690$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 52c | 1,550$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.39 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 54c | 1,439$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.31 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…5e86backed Yes | 53c | 1,409$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 49c | 1,350$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.49 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 47c | 1,337$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.32 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 51c | 1,256$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.48 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 52c | 1,106$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.02 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 48c | 1,043$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.98 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed No | 52c | 979.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 23c | 927.3$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.02 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 47c | 916.71$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.78 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 48c | 863.52$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.04 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 51c | 854.8$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…304fbacked Yes | 58c | 800$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 51c | 704.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…e9fabacked No | 23c | 697.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Yes | 59c | 678.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 41c | 626.5$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.64 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 58c | 615.62$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 51c | 593.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes | 50c | 592$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 53c | 573.51$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.96 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 47c | 549.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.33 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…d12cbacked Yes | 56c | 533.43$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef6…dc43backed No | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 51c | 512.59$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 51c | 509.84$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 51c | 501.67$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 498.61$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.53 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 76c | 492.5$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 78c | 430.62$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.88 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 53c | 430$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed No | 23c | 427.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 77c | 420$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…97adbacked Yes | 49c | 406.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked No | 55c | 353.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 41c | 322.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.93 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…7ce1backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 51c | 284.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…8e1dbacked Yes | 79c | 258.25$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fb43backed Yes | 50c | 245$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9845…3fc6backed Yes | 50c | 245$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 36c | 225.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…97c7backed Yes | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…9c41backed Yes | 42c | 215$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Yes | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62e…ef8cbacked Yes | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…19ffbacked No | 51c | 204.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +310.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…af72backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Yes | 79c | 191.85$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…0d1fbacked No | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 18c | 188.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Yes | 51c | 182.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?this page
- Will Everton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Everton win on 2025-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.