Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2025-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x413488c8244dc2cfa33d4ce8cee9099a5a9317d2809082513483e4a054804519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 17c | 4,096$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.82 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,534$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 77c | 1,717$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.91 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Yes | 5c | 1,100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 23c | 1,002$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 22c | 808.49$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…a77bbacked Yes | 21c | 755$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…feecbacked Yes | 21c | 715$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 22c | 651.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 17c | 576.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 10c | 575.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Yes | 4c | 540$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…0c86backed Yes | 21c | 515$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…f1cebacked No | 79c | 475$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…9713backed Yes | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ad…0b30backed No | 79c | 435$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…af56backed No | 79c | 420$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 76c | 369.08$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd25d…eb15backed No | 79c | 345$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…068bbacked Yes | 21c | 324.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 24c | 285.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 23c | 269.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…f87dbacked Yes | 22c | 213$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaa…753ebacked No | 79c | 210$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…a82dbacked No | 79c | 195$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 178.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…019dbacked Yes | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…5b25backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…f530backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…7f5ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…5916backed No | 79c | 105$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…e03cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…f555backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 17c | 99.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…28d5backed No | 78c | 93.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…f0d8backed No | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a83…e78ebacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…2bf6backed Yes | 32c | 63.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…7afdbacked No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…bfedbacked No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…71bbbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30b…1adfbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 78c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9e…15e3backed No | 79c | 15.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2025-04-05?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?No won
- Will Everton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.