TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16cb…2704backed Yes28c2,460$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.9190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No31c2,352$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.7279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No6c2,211$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.649241.3%38 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes70c1,817$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.2316851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes31c1,380$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.0912642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed No73c1,363$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No50c998.05$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.234251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No9c915.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.55413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes27c900.77$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.7731944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed38…4f73backed No71c900$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d7…bc74backed Yes29c880$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+62%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…2afabacked No71c880$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-84.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c2…6d37backed No71c840$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed No72c698.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fb43backed Yes29c675$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…0338backed Yes29c675$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed No72c608.87$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.327652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1225…3a54backed Yes29c550$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b3…208ebacked Yes29c550$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb8a…865bbacked No75c540$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ac…97c7backed Yes29c440$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b7…9c41backed Yes29c440$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6424…16e0backed Yes29c440$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+106.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e2…7709backed Yes29c405$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+135.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes24c370.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7240046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes27c369.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.189938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d06…d484backed No75c350$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Yes54c346.38$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.25345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2563…f528backed Yes25c340$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+90.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes29c330$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.38943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x769e…5d96backed No71c310$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21940135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ec…d991backed Yes25c285$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes68c242.3$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.39357%53 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8418…bb58backed No71c225$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7545…9132backed No71c220$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41c…7123backed No71c220$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3842…f0b4backed Yes29c220$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Yes68c201.47$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.471631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92bd…019dbacked Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+78.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x638c…e7f7backed Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a83…e78ebacked Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1423100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+99.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68b0…d1a5backed No71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3855…ee41backed Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1421100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb160…812bbacked Yes29c180$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa034…32c3backed Yes29c180$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec78…b48bbacked Yes29c180$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+108.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x287d…8410backed Yes52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe398…6437backed Yes29c180$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+159.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb993…ebb4backed No71c175$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd439…4c80backed No71c165$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4977…a104backed Yes29c160$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa9…7576backed No74c155$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f4…a5cfbacked Yes26c155$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes70c146.49$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.959355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ad…2e85backed Yes26c146$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x457a…7870backed No74c146$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed No75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c96…bb48backed No74c130$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3991…012ebacked Yes26c130$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No73c124$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5252060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4839…43b5backed Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+112.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ac…d507backed Yes26c120$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f57…1a33backed No74c120$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes30c112.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.594940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9199…21c9backed Yes26c111$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd22…24d3backed No74c111$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3de…1e93backed No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5671…6e56backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b1…451bbacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9875…70f5backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5302…7079backed No71c90$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccb…9d1bbacked Yes29c75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+160.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffd…b3f8backed Yes29c75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125c…199bbacked Yes29c75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.077638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c18…dc3cbacked Yes56c71.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.85540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3bc…1550backed Yes26c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…3983backed No74c70$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51d…7addbacked No74c70$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3158…78b1backed Yes26c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc1…fe4bbacked Yes29c65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+73.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa246…a09cbacked Yes29c65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+124.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08d0…b768backed Yes29c65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0e…47c8backed No71c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f1a…3292backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+170.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa90c…82e8backed No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3075…9143backed No71c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ef…d84ebacked Yes27c56.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7492…4cbbbacked No71c55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f8…b5e6backed No74c55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c40…f59bbacked Yes29c55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aef…b1d9backed Yes29c55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+108.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd954…0b97backed No74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2354…0c17backed Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa995…debebacked No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…9579backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2d…9645backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.