NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd22b944fbf9770fd79f1c5ca2a5d6f768d3bf643e3be4d3c6d60bf2b78ec235d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Devils | 64c | 6,833$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Islanders | 35c | 6,543$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.09 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Islanders | 38c | 4,810$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.44 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 62c | 4,444$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Islanders | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.98 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Islanders | 72c | 3,957$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.42 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders | 34c | 3,287$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.71 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Devils | 66c | 3,048$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Islanders | 63c | 2,521$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.54 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Devils | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Devils | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Islanders | 35c | 2,461$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.74 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Devils | 20c | 2,230$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.91 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…ae6fbacked Devils | 65c | 2,001$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…df4cbacked Devils | 65c | 1,810$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Islanders | 34c | 1,636$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.9 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Devils | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Devils | 65c | 1,520$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Islanders | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Islanders | 35c | 1,480$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Devils | 66c | 1,331$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 45c | 1,280$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.9 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Islanders | 35c | 1,238$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Devils | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Islanders | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 37c | 1,007$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.63 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Devils | 15c | 968.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Islanders | 41c | 907.56$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.7 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Devils | 65c | 899.99$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.49 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Devils | 65c | 892.86$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.36 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Devils | 63c | 781.97$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.29 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders | 34c | 710.05$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.63 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Islanders | 35c | 699.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.98 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Islanders | 34c | 601$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.66 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Islanders | 35c | 547.14$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.64 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Devils | 67c | 434.2$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Islanders | 34c | 320.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Devils | 66c | 272.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…364bbacked Islanders | 36c | 231.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Devils | 63c | 222$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 65c | 202.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Islanders | 34c | 201.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Islanders | 35c | 200$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Devils | 23c | 196.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Islanders | 35c | 177$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Devils | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Devils | 39c | 137.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…48b3backed Islanders | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbd…d98bbacked Islanders | 36c | 130.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…bee5backed Islanders | 36c | 127.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Devils | 65c | 122$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Devils | 65c | 120.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Devils | 63c | 119.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Devils | 65c | 118.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…b47bbacked Devils | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Islanders | 34c | 101.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Devils | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Devils | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Islanders | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…b66ebacked Islanders | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Islanders | 33c | 95.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…458dbacked Devils | 66c | 93.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…0b99backed Devils | 65c | 80.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb7…ae2abacked Devils | 65c | 77.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380d…58a1backed Devils | 64c | 77.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…6b34backed Devils | 66c | 77.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…1605backed Devils | 65c | 77.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da2…50d2backed Devils | 65c | 76.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Devils | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Islanders | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…9935backed Devils | 65c | 73.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Islanders | 35c | 69.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…8affbacked Devils | 67c | 60.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Devils | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Islanders | 37c | 58.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…e1e9backed Islanders | 37c | 58.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Islanders | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…e229backed Devils | 66c | 56.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…eee9backed Islanders | 35c | 56.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…dc6abacked Islanders | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Islanders | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Devils | 64c | 38.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Devils | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Islanders | 60c | 33.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…3af9backed Islanders | 37c | 32.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Devils | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…c4d4backed Devils | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…48d1backed Islanders | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a92…65ecbacked Islanders | 63c | 26.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Islanders | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Devils | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…bd27backed Devils | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Devils | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…e563backed Devils | 67c | 17.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.