TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes11c15,409$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,660.099034.4%31 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes65c10,484$6,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,711.5110736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9e…bde4backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3005100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+136.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No72c6,986$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.023748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No73c5,917$4,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,316.146058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8776…3589backed Yes29c4,800$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+74.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes66c4,550$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.91631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b59…5f20backed No75c4,250$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd228…997bbacked Yes25c4,250$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,187.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked No77c4,000$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes24c3,777$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.56955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No49c3,308$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.0930754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No1c3,257$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.572718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes63c3,162$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.6524963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No73c3,080$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.832437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes27c2,251$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.354060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc532…3b9dbacked Yes27c1,850$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No6c1,626$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.374621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No73c1,403$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.062040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x297e…0bf9backed No72c1,350$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x318a…360bbacked Yes77c1,288$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.14850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes61c1,232$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.514544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4625343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c2…7fe7backed No73c1,077$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes23c882.13$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.229136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes24c852.55$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.562552%13 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes75c764.04$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.939350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes28c713.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.771040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes62c709.1$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.461040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c570.69$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.2144955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes26c559.69$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.691442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36013847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes27c496.41$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.3812536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes26c473.48$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.3823942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes65c463.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.954639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No71c419.25$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.881546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed No42c405.45$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.291338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x120b…74bfbacked Yes71c391.85$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c387.72$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5617466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b51…9c96backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.142035%7 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Yes58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked No72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0e…55edbacked Yes27c274.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14625450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1525349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked No33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes62c180.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.810850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.575149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Yes66c176.95$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.251957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes27c172.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No23c156.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.032259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828f…fa80backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes26c154.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4211429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad98…8733backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.957346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No32c103$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.586238.7%24 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718c…f792backed No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid+123.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7120133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd82…342bbacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes71c97.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.187857.7%45 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32dc…51abbacked Yes64c93.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes66c83.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.117659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd40d…d165backed Yes65c78.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.923151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…1601backed Yes57c66.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.552147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5560…e877backed No44c66.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d70…b17ebacked No38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-41.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57ee…6f95backed No77c65.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…2f3bbacked Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes66c58.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.982035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed No74c56.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0170%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Yes26c54.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.974100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+151.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.513333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes63c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed No42c48.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…aebabacked Yes54c46.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No72c45.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9117853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes61c44.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5425735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba2…527dbacked Yes29c37.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.391250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No74c36.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2536851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes63c36.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.544637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6438356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes69c33.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.314052.5%21 W · 19 L+9.3wins+0.23per pick29cpaid+261.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6828357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked No45c31.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-66.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.114955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257f…12fcbacked No38c29.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.39450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42b…e47bbacked Yes58c27.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9e…15e3backed No75c25.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked No75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.75875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No73c22.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.113238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.213538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No74c15.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3818758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No73c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.957946.8%37 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3266…9390backed No77c14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.