Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9539e0011f2da7f375b411a2038120462eaaa2bfa4ec3f03e52bd73bf45c2f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61fa…3000backed Yes | 23c | 10,001$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…a062backed No | 77c | 10,001$7,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…21fabacked No | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…b408backed Yes | 23c | 9,995$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 15c | 5,366$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.12 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,000$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 76c | 3,301$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.9 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,500$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 22c | 1,663$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 78c | 750$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 25c | 744.82$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 25c | 680.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…b38abacked No | 75c | 666.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 22c | 625$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 492.58$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 21c | 477.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 79c | 429.92$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 22c | 349.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 346.18$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…6768backed Yes | 5c | 278$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 11c | 275.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 20c | 251$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 23c | 210.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 30c | 167.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f0…10efbacked Yes | 19c | 154.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…5f4dbacked No | 78c | 103.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…d33cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 21c | 93.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…35b4backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…5cf6backed Yes | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed No | 78c | 65.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 24c | 62.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…aebabacked Yes | 26c | 57.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…4b52backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked No | 77c | 43.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 76c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 77c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 76c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3266…9390backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.