TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7329…6768

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT498.2%4 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,165.9%+$238.24
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.05
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.41
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.12
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.3
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.84
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will George Russell win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.85
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Aston Martin have the highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.98
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.06
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+766.7%+$383.33
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-89.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Paraguay beat Colombia? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Brazil beat Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Uruguay beat Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.01
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick13cpaid+300.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate go to the UK before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.