F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c990fcfd72138587caa55f2abd7e05909e5e6aab1063e726dea6995b67501b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 16c | 3,175$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.75 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a5…7e7abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…4a6fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,585$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.32 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…6307backed Yes | 9c | 1,256$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…3d6cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…290bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,106$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 2c | 1,050$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked Yes | 6c | 865.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…2dbcbacked Yes | 12c | 863.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…95f6backed Yes | 5c | 836.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 748.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…6768backed Yes | 6c | 653.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…63b2backed Yes | 16c | 629.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2646…d4c2backed Yes | 4c | 592.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 3c | 550$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca3…656cbacked Yes | 12c | 490.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes | 4c | 488.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…c0a0backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…b656backed Yes | 10c | 388.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…9bdcbacked Yes | 13c | 370$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…3816backed Yes | 11c | 350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…e020backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…4d34backed Yes | 5c | 308.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011e…eb97backed Yes | 4c | 301.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…6578backed Yes | 11c | 301.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 10c | 284.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…84a1backed Yes | 7c | 245$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…a9bdbacked Yes | 7c | 226.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…927abacked Yes | 19c | 221.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…158bbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes | 10c | 197.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 190.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes | 11c | 185$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +96%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed Yes | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…b95ebacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…c787backed Yes | 21c | 142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…fc93backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…da3ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 21c | 79.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7a…a72fbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264e…a686backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 80c | 41.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…b88ebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.