F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea13a2de2474b24aee40b6c93933acaacb362770de1cb70004bcf5cdeb1462bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 6c | 3,451$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.48 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…6768backed Yes | 6c | 2,285$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…c73cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 6c | 2,140$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…8a48backed Yes | 5c | 1,978$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…1712backed Yes | 5c | 1,897$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 5c | 1,282$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 7c | 1,072$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 3c | 983.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…c9e3backed Yes | 6c | 954.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…8356backed Yes | 3c | 888$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 7c | 704.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed Yes | 5c | 700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 6c | 656.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…b656backed Yes | 5c | 619.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a5…7e7abacked Yes | 3c | 563.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 516$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…07f1backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes | 5c | 403.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +96%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 5c | 370.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 4c | 335$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…927abacked Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…7d21backed Yes | 6c | 309.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +424.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…6578backed Yes | 7c | 287.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 5c | 262.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 6c | 261.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 6c | 256$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…33a9backed Yes | 8c | 252.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 5c | 240$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 11c | 219.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 6c | 216$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011e…eb97backed Yes | 6c | 192.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 7c | 185.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…9401backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…c1a0backed Yes | 31c | 47.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.