F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb81ba8310acd4f6af1b5f57886b34d0cb16b99001f51f9a7a6cafb00d5ace4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,097$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,092$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 8c | 1,975$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 6c | 1,278$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 10c | 1,052$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…8356backed Yes | 3c | 887.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 7c | 557.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…6768backed Yes | 5c | 546.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 8c | 514$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 3c | 433.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 8c | 410$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 4c | 378.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…85babacked Yes | 6c | 336.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 8c | 315.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…6578backed Yes | 7c | 299.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 10c | 291$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 263.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 5c | 241.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 9c | 226.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 6c | 219.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…a9bdbacked Yes | 8c | 207.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 7c | 172.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a7…c4debacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…9401backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes | 10c | 101.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.