Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa29144767e3006be28798088dec09a8f83bc1f4abea04dd5d342c6325f656d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Atlético Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $631,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $645,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d6b…3fc9backed Atlético Madrid | 38c | 106,745$40,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,563.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a7c9backed Real Madrid | 62c | 106,745$66,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,563.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…aed5backed Atlético Madrid | 37c | 97,016$35,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,895.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…dfa2backed Real Madrid | 63c | 97,000$61,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,890 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Real Madrid | 75c | 37,441$28,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,371.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Atlético Madrid | 25c | 31,849$8,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,007.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…67f7backed Atlético Madrid | 0c | 15,440$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Real Madrid | 55c | 13,049$7,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,865.83 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Atlético Madrid | 1c | 10,054$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Atlético Madrid | 47c | 8,788$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.56 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Real Madrid | 67c | 7,113$4,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.68 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Atlético Madrid | 45c | 5,906$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.76 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Atlético Madrid | 26c | 5,464$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.08 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Atlético Madrid | 46c | 5,343$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.89 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Atlético Madrid | 39c | 5,201$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.48 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Atlético Madrid | 24c | 4,114$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.45 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Real Madrid | 72c | 4,049$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Real Madrid | 69c | 3,659$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.09 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Atlético Madrid | 27c | 3,655$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Real Madrid | 63c | 3,617$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.68 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Atlético Madrid | 38c | 3,445$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.5 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Real Madrid | 74c | 3,298$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Atlético Madrid | 26c | 3,197$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.19 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Atlético Madrid | 50c | 3,120$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Atlético Madrid | 26c | 2,683$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…187fbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 2,023$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Real Madrid | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Real Madrid | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Atlético Madrid | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Atlético Madrid | 28c | 1,993$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.04 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x512b…a346backed Real Madrid | 75c | 1,902$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 1,869$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Atlético Madrid | 26c | 1,750$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…81e4backed Real Madrid | 75c | 1,601$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Real Madrid | 54c | 1,530$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.5 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Atlético Madrid | 31c | 1,088$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.6 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Atlético Madrid | 25c | 1,038$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.02 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Atlético Madrid | 40c | 1,004$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.17 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Real Madrid | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Atlético Madrid | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlético Madrid | 29c | 994.26$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.84 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Real Madrid | 77c | 984.96$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Atlético Madrid | 49c | 933.61$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Atlético Madrid | 25c | 925.65$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.39 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Atlético Madrid | 38c | 853.66$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.81 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Real Madrid | 73c | 807.02$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Real Madrid | 54c | 799.94$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.97 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Real Madrid | 74c | 778.32$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Real Madrid | 73c | 776$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Real Madrid | 65c | 734.77$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.98 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Real Madrid | 51c | 733$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +306.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Real Madrid | 73c | 732.46$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Real Madrid | 56c | 716.93$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.1 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Real Madrid | 59c | 713.92$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.88 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Real Madrid | 74c | 706.09$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Real Madrid | 61c | 606.76$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…9729backed Atlético Madrid | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Atlético Madrid | 36c | 552.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…8cb1backed Real Madrid | 71c | 518.5$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Atlético Madrid | 29c | 512.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6126…87eebacked Atlético Madrid | 26c | 510.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Atlético Madrid | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…6c31backed Real Madrid | 75c | 449.64$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Real Madrid | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Atlético Madrid | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Atlético Madrid | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…0af7backed Real Madrid | 74c | 371$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Atlético Madrid | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Atlético Madrid | 30c | 354.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Real Madrid | 57c | 333.72$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Real Madrid | 65c | 320.95$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Atlético Madrid | 46c | 296.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…ddcdbacked Atlético Madrid | 48c | 285.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…b18cbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 273.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Real Madrid | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 269.58$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Real Madrid | 70c | 268.94$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38bc…c0a2backed Real Madrid | 76c | 263.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…593bbacked Atlético Madrid | 61c | 260.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Real Madrid | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Atlético Madrid | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Atlético Madrid | 37c | 240.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…4b76backed Atlético Madrid | 43c | 233.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Real Madrid | 74c | 229$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Atlético Madrid | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…8f10backed Real Madrid | 74c | 218$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…7c06backed Real Madrid | 61c | 214.54$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560a…5a47backed Real Madrid | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Atlético Madrid | 49c | 202.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…cbc2backed Real Madrid | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…938fbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 195.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…f39bbacked Atlético Madrid | 26c | 192.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…eca7backed Real Madrid | 63c | 179.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…3daabacked Real Madrid | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…8ed3backed Real Madrid | 58c | 173.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Atlético Madrid | 31c | 171.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…d02fbacked Atlético Madrid | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…013cbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 168.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Real Madrid | 45c | 164.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Real Madrid | 61c | 164.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?this page
- Will Benfica or FC Barcelona advance in the UCL Round of 16?Barcelona won
- Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?Bayern Munich won
- Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?Dortmund won
- Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16?Aston Villa won
- Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?Inter Milan won
- Will PSV Eindhoven or Arsenal advance in the UCL Round of 16?Arsenal won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?PSG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.