Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc762b3022435467e538e4b2aca79165af297489db8398f6899f512df774073e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dortmundof Dortmund, Lille
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lille | 49c | 9,685$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.95 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Lille | 48c | 7,485$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dortmund | 51c | 6,195$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.81 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Lille | 50c | 5,113$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Dortmund | 51c | 4,152$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.84 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dortmund | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.99 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Dortmund | 57c | 3,625$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.35 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Lille | 50c | 3,187$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dortmund | 68c | 2,783$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.68 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Lille | 49c | 2,759$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Lille | 9c | 2,666$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Dortmund | 51c | 2,490$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Dortmund | 62c | 2,389$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lille | 40c | 2,252$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.38 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Lille | 45c | 2,157$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.03 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Dortmund | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed Lille | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +410.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lille | 41c | 1,324$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.8 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Dortmund | 51c | 1,240$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.9 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Lille | 39c | 1,136$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.75 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Dortmund | 53c | 1,129$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.25 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Dortmund | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Lille | 17c | 940$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Dortmund | 33c | 919.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.11 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Lille | 41c | 828.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Dortmund | 60c | 795$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.95 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lille | 51c | 680.64$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.13 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Lille | 38c | 631.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Lille | 75c | 528.76$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Dortmund | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Dortmund | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…5b90backed Lille | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +371.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Dortmund | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…711cbacked Lille | 51c | 363.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lille | 39c | 355.37$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.78 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Lille | 51c | 327.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Lille | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Dortmund | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Lille | 49c | 299.59$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Dortmund | 33c | 269.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Dortmund | 49c | 264.23$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…a557backed Dortmund | 59c | 263$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Lille | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Dortmund | 33c | 243.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.87 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lille | 26c | 241.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Lille | 50c | 239.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Lille | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc64…929dbacked Dortmund | 52c | 228$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lille | 10c | 208.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Lille | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…8f10backed Dortmund | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Lille | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Dortmund | 51c | 193.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lille | 33c | 185.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Dortmund | 51c | 176.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Dortmund | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Dortmund | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Lille | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Dortmund | 60c | 156.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7788…e7d7backed Dortmund | 59c | 152$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…1cb9backed Dortmund | 61c | 149.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lille | 42c | 145.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Dortmund | 55c | 145.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9247…4ec9backed Lille | 42c | 139$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdc…e684backed Lille | 42c | 131$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…0a18backed Lille | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…ac2dbacked Lille | 40c | 127.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Lille | 44c | 124.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Dortmund | 68c | 119.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Lille | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Dortmund | 60c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe070…a93fbacked Lille | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dortmund | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Lille | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4b28backed Dortmund | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Lille | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…2b86backed Dortmund | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f37…03e9backed Dortmund | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…dcbcbacked Lille | 48c | 83.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…c6e7backed Lille | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Dortmund | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…6b18backed Dortmund | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lille | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Dortmund | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d172backed Dortmund | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…2589backed Lille | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Dortmund | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…e88fbacked Dortmund | 62c | 72.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Lille | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…00b9backed Lille | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…edabbacked Dortmund | 63c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Dortmund | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…65b4backed Dortmund | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Dortmund | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…1730backed Lille | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Dortmund | 52c | 57.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 55 | 76.4%42 W · 13 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Dortmund | 24c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Lille | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf790…de18backed Lille | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Dortmund | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?this page
- Will Benfica or FC Barcelona advance in the UCL Round of 16?Barcelona won
- Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?Bayern Munich won
- Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16?Aston Villa won
- Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?Inter Milan won
- Will PSV Eindhoven or Arsenal advance in the UCL Round of 16?Arsenal won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?PSG won
- Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?Real Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.