TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7502…beaf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$450.94
Will Fulham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,794Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.4%+$1,359.75
Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.4%+$793.56
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$400
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,999.95
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,985.65
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$613.46
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+130.2%+$698.09
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$20.84
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$533.33
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,719Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$489.66
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,363Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$705.94
Will Everton win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,656Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$2,344.13
Will Ipswich win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$954.02
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$77.88
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,528Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$840.75
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$813.54
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$600.35
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$580.17
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,008Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$1,065.49
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$36.97
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,210.64
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$8,640.23
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,025.81
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,995Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$630.1
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+28.2%+$17.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.51
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+513.5%+$2,425.61
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$452
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.86
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.13
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.53
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.39
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$2,782.85
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$868.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$750.1
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,371Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$1,064.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lecce vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,089Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$922.83
Will Inter win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,999.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,795Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,795
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,073.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7,497.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,010.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.