TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$325,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ae5…8342backed No78c79,849$62,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,277.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes22c41,491$9,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,363.0837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c32,115$11,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,990.091,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes62c28,072$17,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,591.362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No36c21,810$7,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,855.3510752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Yes75c20,023$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,023.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No39c14,999$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,849.588944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c14,637$5,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,476.981,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes64c12,447$8,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,430.467741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes22c6,324$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,932.84052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No78c3,637$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.6226040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No80c3,500$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80014346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c3,051$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.7828448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes19c3,049$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.710521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c2,464$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.0171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked No78c2,301$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79520%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Yes64c2,145$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.743562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes20c1,866$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes22c1,525$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.55425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes22c1,364$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.6411735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes57c1,328$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.9235157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Yes73c1,300$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes20c1,067$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.3733938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked No28c928.57$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes17c924.57$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.394932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4862…1a17backed Yes23c857.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+328.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes61c812.7$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.95757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes18c654.56$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.537926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d12backed Yes19c637.22$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+418.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d4…2037backed Yes80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No80c622.86$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked No79c600$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4741338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed No39c513.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed No40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes19c499.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.987146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes19c473.68$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6823250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No41c468.09$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2420232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe71…bd57backed No42c455.5$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes61c435.61$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+110.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdf8…d37fbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes20c397.37$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1223151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x783e…d7c8backed No38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed No80c375$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No80c373.75$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed No28c358.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed No80c357.5$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed No80c355$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b4…08d7backed No80c353.63$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No48c280.58$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4212343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes19c271.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.056157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick76cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes63c233.03$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84de…c1e3backed No78c211.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes19c210.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.531250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.333743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Yes22c200$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+214.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b83…8223backed Yes63c181.52$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.161154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No59c168.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes19c167$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.61838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed No38c161.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9250%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No80c160.72$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.579858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fb…70b1backed Yes24c155.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes23c150$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Yes66c143.55$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes21c141.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.731947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefcb…d5f0backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f1…e5a1backed No38c126.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No77c125$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.251872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdf…edf9backed No77c124.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick74cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No42c120.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.451926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…4880backed Yes60c100.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x789e…fd45backed Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775100%5 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+173.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb78d…1d48backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811e…71ecbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Yes23c99.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.991650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No77c96.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.563966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b16…7af0backed Yes22c91.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Yes55c88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.72475%18 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes18c84.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.43540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes23c73.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.912642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Yes45c72.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.033243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…a363backed Yes67c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb63…00b7backed Yes22c63.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa695…c8a4backed No80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick62cpaid-57.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8249…01a8backed Yes75c59.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes40c58.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No79c56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.247352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes35c51.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.186854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.