Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3610c425b9bf8f15fb371a54b9769843e97ba58b088a9cbeb33dd058d2fbe9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 66c | 12,979$8,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,373.64 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 47c | 11,585$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 71c | 5,566$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.37 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 5,254$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.5 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 4,337$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.61 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 34c | 3,904$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.22 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 30c | 3,047$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 2,896$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 21c | 1,816$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.43 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 1,813$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.83 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,633$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.9 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 1,096$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.27 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 67c | 757.26$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 66c | 660$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.56 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 37c | 551.35$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 38c | 526.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 415.95$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 22c | 410$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 21c | 329.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 66c | 299.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed No | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…f93bbacked Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 224.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 78c | 199.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 70c | 197.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…7af0backed Yes | 26c | 190.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 186$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 13c | 176.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 79c | 125.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 120.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 27c | 114.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 63c | 106.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 30c | 102.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Yes | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 69.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…0088backed Yes | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 31c | 43.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 37c | 37.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…ff79backed Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…8ac6backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3e…303bbacked No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.