TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9981…2d71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.33
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Türkiye leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$131.14
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-46.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.73
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaurbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$136.67
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$89.97
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.66
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.94
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymerbacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sarah Rakotomangabacked Sarah Rakotomanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.07
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Valentina Shevchenko win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.34
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$76.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.