Tennis · resolved market
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf77d067dac860f5b872b41c68f46c083a56ff30083f6845c7b354e61483d961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ugo Humbertof Ugo Humbert, Elias Ymer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Elias Ymer | 20c | 35,402$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 761 | 39.9%304 W · 457 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elias Ymer | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elias Ymer | 15c | 9,682$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.38 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ugo Humbert | 80c | 9,246$7,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.74 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Elias Ymer | 16c | 4,594$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.7 | 2,223 | 36.9%821 W · 1,402 L | +40.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Elias Ymer | 19c | 3,111$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.96 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Elias Ymer | 18c | 2,863$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.46 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elias Ymer | 15c | 2,307$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.05 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Elias Ymer | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Elias Ymer | 17c | 1,657$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.87 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Elias Ymer | 9c | 1,119$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Elias Ymer | 18c | 1,116$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Elias Ymer | 16c | 972.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 1,140 | 45.4%518 W · 622 L | -34.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Elias Ymer | 18c | 823$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Elias Ymer | 15c | 745.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…a20dbacked Elias Ymer | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elias Ymer | 17c | 571.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Elias Ymer | 18c | 549.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 502 | 47%236 W · 266 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Elias Ymer | 9c | 544.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Elias Ymer | 19c | 533.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Elias Ymer | 19c | 533.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 886 | 37%328 W · 558 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Elias Ymer | 19c | 506.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Elias Ymer | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Elias Ymer | 8c | 488.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 860 | 49.7%427 W · 433 L | +22.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Elias Ymer | 3c | 454.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3,731 | 45.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elias Ymer | 8c | 423$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…f2a5backed Elias Ymer | 18c | 417.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elias Ymer | 18c | 389.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Elias Ymer | 16c | 369.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Elias Ymer | 19c | 305.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 654 | 39.9%261 W · 393 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Elias Ymer | 13c | 293.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2,104 | 44.5%937 W · 1,167 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Elias Ymer | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 716 | 21.1%151 W · 565 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Elias Ymer | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 487 | 30.8%150 W · 337 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Elias Ymer | 19c | 260.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…1a23backed Elias Ymer | 23c | 235.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Elias Ymer | 18c | 226.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Elias Ymer | 16c | 200.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Elias Ymer | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,286 | 42.9%980 W · 1,306 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…b1a2backed Elias Ymer | 19c | 199.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Elias Ymer | 12c | 198.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 2,078 | 46.7%970 W · 1,108 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Elias Ymer | 8c | 180$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Elias Ymer | 17c | 158.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 787 | 36%283 W · 504 L | +36.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…dc5abacked Elias Ymer | 19c | 139.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Elias Ymer | 19c | 119.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Elias Ymer | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 381 | 21.5%82 W · 299 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Elias Ymer | 19c | 107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…178bbacked Elias Ymer | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Elias Ymer | 19c | 101.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…c556backed Elias Ymer | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Elias Ymer | 16c | 99.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Elias Ymer | 16c | 96.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Elias Ymer | 17c | 91.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Elias Ymer | 20c | 90.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 445 | 36.9%164 W · 281 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Elias Ymer | 15c | 88.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…8a59backed Elias Ymer | 14c | 84.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…798bbacked Elias Ymer | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Elias Ymer | 18c | 80.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Elias Ymer | 17c | 80.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Elias Ymer | 18c | 70.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Elias Ymer | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Elias Ymer | 18c | 64.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Elias Ymer | 18c | 63.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Elias Ymer | 20c | 58.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Ugo Humbert | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 570 | 49.1%280 W · 290 L | +24.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymerthis page
- Humbert vs. Ymer: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Humbert vs. Ymer: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs YmerHumbert won
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Ymer (+1.5)Humbert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.