United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf01cb86538511313805548d80b825bbc479fde28446ea90f7f39bfae13fae9b9

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,023,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,094,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,023,641 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	36c	236,973$84,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84,823.63	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	71c	114,074$81,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,843.94	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcb…6d5bbacked Over	19c	52,632$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,631.58	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	18cpaid	+235.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	41c	51,407$21,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,053.65	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	59c	27,494$16,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,353.75	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	31c	22,787$7,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,053.87	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	21c	18,947$4,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,878.87	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e29…5777backed Under	2c	18,265$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.65	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+100%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under	26c	17,653$4,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,612.75	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Under	4c	17,100$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	54	7.4%4 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+123.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	66c	15,946$10,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,478.31	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	58c	14,124$8,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,999.31	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	2c	13,150$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.5	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under	5c	12,848$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.93	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under	5c	12,500$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	69	10.1%7 W · 62 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbc…bc0abacked Under	5c	12,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Over	70c	10,862$7,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,292.57	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	28c	10,084$2,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,779.75	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,999.98	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Over	80c	9,698$7,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,961.53	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	32c	9,056$2,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,129.11	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over	76c	8,058$6,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950.56	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Under	2c	7,800$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under	5c	7,500$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	+7.6wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+183.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over	76c	7,078$5,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,723.4	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	29c	6,817$1,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,947.76	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	28c	6,798$1,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,918.95	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	69c	6,450$4,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,449.55	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2887…a552backed Under	5c	6,351$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.55	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	60c	6,171$3,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,477.16	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over	77c	6,000$4,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Under	5c	6,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under	58c	5,319$3,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,102.44	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-34%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Over	75c	5,000$3,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Over	75c	5,000$3,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	66	71.2%47 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under	3c	5,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	6cpaid	+304.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Under	5c	4,800$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	8cpaid	+196.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c1…c1a4backed Over	77c	4,632$3,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.83	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.25per pick	39cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	74c	4,616$3,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,412.62	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86dc…5ed2backed Over	60c	4,097$2,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,633.29	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-32%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	33c	4,074$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,712.72	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	30c	3,972$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,191.65	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under	60c	3,934$2,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,357.79	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under	40c	3,923$1,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.95	337	40.4%136 W · 201 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	68c	3,796$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	28c	3,577$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.06	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under	47c	3,569$1,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,678.17	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-44%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e73…0436backed Over	75c	3,333$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.33	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	79c	3,209$2,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,546.91	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Over	63c	3,116$1,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,153.04	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	53c	3,054$1,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440.4	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under	31c	2,697$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.19	266	47%125 W · 141 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Under	32c	2,560$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.47	215	42.8%92 W · 123 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under	25c	2,300$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over	75c	2,277$1,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.47	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Over	71c	2,228$1,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.32	110	65.5%72 W · 38 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f67…a882backed Under	44c	2,151$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.2	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.66	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	32c	2,088$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.58	259	42.1%109 W · 150 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under	36c	2,019$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.85	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over	19c	2,000$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,620	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	61c	1,833$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.77	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	40c	1,787$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.94	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked Under	60c	1,655$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.08	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under	53c	1,509$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under	67c	1,493$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	161	53.4%86 W · 75 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Under	46c	1,410$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	126	34.9%44 W · 82 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over	72c	1,410$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.75	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Over	71c	1,400$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405	195	31.3%61 W · 134 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Over	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	19c	1,316$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.79	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under	5c	1,307$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.34	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over	76c	1,230$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.3	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8762…cc57backed Over	55c	1,207$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.95	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under	33c	1,205$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.99	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under	24c	1,203$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.07	163	25.8%42 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	43c	1,200$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516	211	66.4%140 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bc…a12abacked Under	64c	1,130$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.7	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under	37c	1,095$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.69	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	80c	1,068$853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.2	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0755…fe68backed Over	77c	1,046$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over	78c	1,026$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.64	217	59%128 W · 89 L	+13.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Over	41c	1,016$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.44	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+5.6wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under	23c	1,002$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.82	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	20c	1,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	19c	1,000$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Over	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.36	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbc…71b8backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Over	73c	1,000$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	63c	1,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddaf…3de6backed Over	55c	963.64$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.64	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+5.7wins	+0.18per pick	33cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over	32c	924.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.92	118	51.7%61 W · 57 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…3335backed Over	19c	889.47$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.47	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	64c	879.72$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.85	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over	54c	878.07$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.13	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under	3c	875$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	95	2.1%2 W · 93 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	43c	845.47$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.46	334	43.4%145 W · 189 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Over	40c	845$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over	60c	834.87$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.88	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Over	24c	833.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5this page
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event