TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c6,837$3,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,627.554,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under57c4,549$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.2914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over26c4,441$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,287.892,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under74c3,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c2,315$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.872,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under60c1,964$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.568243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c1,524$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over44c1,300$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.451,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under36c1,207$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0310849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over72c1,170$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.419742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over77c1,129$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.16765.7%44 W · 23 L+12.4wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under23c1,115$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over56c1,077$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7711851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over62c1,041$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.852,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over62c1,035$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.463,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under75c998.98$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.2410335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1ba…0062backed Under76c979.55$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under55c976.7$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.6164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over55c961.24$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.152,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over63c940$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.12,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over52c899.99$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.997358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under58c854.73$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over28c845.31$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.163,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over74c820.15$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.972,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b1…c1cfbacked Under48c788$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under18c787.8$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1922932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Under35c730.26$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.594942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over51c695$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.171,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under76c623.37$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.782,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…fab1backed Under34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Under30c475.4$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.924647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over27c450$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.519838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over27c450$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over27c450$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x60bf…15aabacked Over25c440.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.032236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over25c430.72$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.048338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under46c383.28$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0523637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under52c360.69$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.568643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over24c341.34$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Under27c324$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.655747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over43c309.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.322643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Under33c301.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Under34c290.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9920253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7d2…abfbbacked Under50c259.43$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.284148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over25c249.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4926537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over41c242.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.834452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efe…d987backed Over26c212.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.691735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11028964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11035658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11025865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over55c199.34$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0753436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Over43c191.47$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.86144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over53c185.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.566141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under64c184.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.333447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over35c183$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.351,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2995…f5bbbacked Under56c175.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-64.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under23c174.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Over23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.919815.3%15 W · 83 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5b…55e5backed Over47c173.54$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.543253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under60c166.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over73c159.83$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.512,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Under33c153$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.498062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over8c150$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1388321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over73c150$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.764654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Under49c149.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.36246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under72c142.8$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…9e88backed Under75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5319…f862backed Under15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-46.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf43f…3b20backed Over54c131.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.042050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9067…3272backed Over49c129.71$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.79742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+91.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Under51c122$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.221643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over70c121.11$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.924,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…8ddabacked Over26c115.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.388035%28 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…d972backed Under51c106.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.682161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9955…e803backed Under48c106.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.474839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde70…615fbacked Over26c104.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6411839.8%47 W · 71 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over48c104.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5328326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Over26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4627845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over28c94.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.352,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf11f…1158backed Under59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.16334.9%22 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Over56c85.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.025232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6063152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c79.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over46c78.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.015540%22 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Over25c76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb8…c3f0backed Over53c75.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over68c75.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.322,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over27c74.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4836329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b1…9888backed Under61c72.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over67c68.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.682,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45c…ce8bbacked Under76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fd…62f1backed Under76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506446.9%30 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a20…bda6backed Over25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x074e…dc0fbacked Over25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455836.2%21 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9564…d89abacked Under34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+67.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under74c56.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.