Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d2ffd617b267c247d51c92bf721e12491e8065075b4c7e9807081427c6a9fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 29c | 3,058$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.12 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed Under | 2c | 2,684$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 8c | 2,252$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Under | 62c | 2,071$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.08 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 51c | 1,841$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Under | 71c | 1,431$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 37c | 1,427$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.26 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.32 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +12.4wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked Under | 2c | 1,383$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 36c | 1,267$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.11 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 14c | 1,049$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 1,028$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.03 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 15c | 966.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 877.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.13 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 64c | 754.59$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.94 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 7c | 749.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.48 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5319…f862backed Under | 16c | 656.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed Under | 67c | 469.3$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 8c | 450$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 8c | 450$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 8c | 450$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Under | 67c | 423.17$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 77c | 323.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…fab1backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 17c | 312.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.14 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Under | 64c | 303.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 70c | 282.45$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Under | 80c | 277.02$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 76c | 264.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.49 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Under | 74c | 237.81$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7057backed Over | 35c | 229.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 38c | 215.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c0…47c5backed Under | 62c | 193.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 8c | 190.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 72c | 178.01$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 9c | 175.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 11c | 170.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 143$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…0b83backed Over | 39c | 132.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 77c | 132.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Over | 22c | 121.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Under | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb44…cdc0backed Over | 29c | 107.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 75c | 106.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…90aabacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…d972backed Under | 74c | 95.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…0ed5backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…884cbacked Under | 75c | 73.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 39c | 69.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Under | 68c | 69.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 21c | 67.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…d89abacked Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 23c | 64.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…35f7backed Under | 63c | 63.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +6.6wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbc…71b8backed Over | 35c | 44.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed Under | 69c | 43.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Over | 32c | 38.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Under | 64c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Under | 64c | 36.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 72c | 34.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 68c | 34.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 38c | 32.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…bb2fbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 78c | 25.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 68c | 21.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…e660backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.