TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,559 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c2,476$1,144 inWon+$1,3322,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c2,106$1,177 inLost-$1,177.084,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Over45c920$414 inWon+$506.0610326.2%27 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under54c834.35$451 inLost-$450.5586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under53c831.7$441 inLost-$440.834249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c579.83$315 inLost-$314.664,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Over47c534.6$250 inWon+$284.610634%36 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under53c235$125 inLost-$124.552,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c234.96$122 inLost-$122.252,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c198.16$109 inLost-$108.992,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c154.74$85 inLost-$84.893,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…9c50backed Over45c153.33$69 inWon+$84.333438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over46c152.17$70 inWon+$82.176141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over43c139.3$60 inWon+$79.426537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over50c102.25$51 inWon+$51.2547935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over43c100$43 inWon+$5718448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over43c99.55$43 inWon+$56.731,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under53c97.65$52 inLost-$51.751,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Under50c89.98$45 inLost-$44.9916564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c85.7$39 inWon+$46.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under57c77.58$44 inLost-$44.0148152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over46c70$32 inWon+$37.847049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under57c67.18$38 inLost-$38.2984751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf13…3366backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon+$35.225648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc3…72a2backed Over45c50$23 inWon+$27.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed Over45c48.89$22 inWon+$26.896347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over47c46.61$22 inWon+$24.4736329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe0…133ebacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon+$23.482040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon+$23.488042.5%34 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ee8…07c4backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon+$23.486352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8514…e293backed Over45c43.44$20 inWon+$23.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over47c42.72$20 inWon+$22.7212040%48 W · 72 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over44c40$18 inWon+$22.426344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb12f…f3f5backed Over44c32.73$14 inWon+$18.332941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee4…241abacked Over46c32.61$15 inWon+$17.614470.5%31 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00bb…c45fbacked Over46c28.37$13 inWon+$15.322138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Over44c26.09$11 inWon+$14.6123124.7%57 W · 174 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under52c25.31$13 inLost-$13.232,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.