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Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c91,482$47,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,299.374,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over40c45,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,999.9917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over39c22,900$8,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,9693,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under61c21,896$13,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,262.8174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over40c17,936$7,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,762.082,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Over39c15,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,149.7319345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Over70c9,994$6,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.192882.1%23 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c7,525$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,519.552,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under58c5,908$3,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,426.56929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under9c5,136$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.6718543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over64c5,033$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.444,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over67c4,692$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under61c4,100$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50125857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under61c3,500$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1359253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Over69c3,004$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.425435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8007038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02058049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over39c2,719$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.815062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under59c1,974$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.131,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over73c1,778$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.3317751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over66c1,556$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.1816163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under61c1,555$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.536043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over40c1,358$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.4317544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79311642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f9…5c3dbacked Over39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.058259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4547…5750backed Over51c1,245$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.261070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61012241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d1c…b28cbacked Over39c876$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.362416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c862.04$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under30c855.21$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.122,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over42c663.68$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.9484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37518742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under61c614.38$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.7764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under60c605.92$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5748152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aca…95e4backed Over39c602.59$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.581040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c06…b98abacked Over68c566.55$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.632962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c558.27$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Under10c540.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4820850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under56c538.83$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under62c515.2$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4242952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under29c507.58$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28519251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over69c481.55$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.812,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…2f91backed Under61c480$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over62c450$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8119039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c431$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.243,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under57c430.95$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.442,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under40c430.05$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.312,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over40c426.82$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.192,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c420.96$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.511,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Over40c335.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.065648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over65c305$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7517747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0a…2d46backed Under62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under57c298.34$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.391,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under51c283.3$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4147546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4111946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4120729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b3…8a22backed Over40c251.48$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15022449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over41c246.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.219746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over42c246$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6833443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under59c234.23$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.234249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Over39c230.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7710549.5%52 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over42c230$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.416655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c7…1be8backed Over74c191.16$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee1…9212backed Over40c182.4$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.44650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+78.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1600…952fbacked Over72c181.45$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.452157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over69c174.37$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0510273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfa35…2a55backed Over39c170$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…c39fbacked Over39c160$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under36c157.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5719734.5%68 W · 129 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed Over65c154.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.033542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2fa…97debacked Over39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over71c149.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.499168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Over43c147.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.073863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd11c…fb8dbacked Over68c146.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.911145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over40c139.86$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.76946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over42c131.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2663151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2120532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cd…7f4abacked Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21258%2 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.219235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3955…67f2backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.212218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over40c125.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7124242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7514946.3%69 W · 80 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf711…6601backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…8b2bbacked Over39c124.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.654531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over39c117.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9563229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked Over40c115.68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over42c113.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8413850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Over45c111.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.299348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under59c102.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3919038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Over40c100.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.136026.7%16 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5473…f736backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607218.1%13 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed Under62c96.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.913951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over63c91$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.672,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…17adbacked Under62c88.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.