United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b84bc5be339bcda1ae8467c814bff29f317a5eeac1ced595860e33b10d6f8a

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $279,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $303,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,723 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	11c	33,439$3,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,782.92	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Over	0c	20,618$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	80	25%20 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7958…d587backed Over	4c	11,730$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a0…2378backed Over	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over	3c	8,658$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.44	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+220.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	3c	5,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	13c	4,972$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.15	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	9c	4,250$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.02	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Over	3c	4,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.74	159	37.7%60 W · 99 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	3c	3,924$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.43	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	7c	3,367$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.82	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	11c	3,112$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.4	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	11c	3,038$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.12	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	8c	2,921$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.15	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	4c	2,916$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.96	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over	12c	2,852$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.24	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	6c	2,753$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.82	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	11c	2,576$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.04	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over	14c	2,455$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.29	138	30.4%42 W · 96 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over	15c	1,992$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.87	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb58…6295backed Over	16c	1,472$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over	4c	1,282$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over	3c	1,263$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	8c	1,111$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.94	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	14c	1,063$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.43	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	1c	1,063$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4c…2961backed Over	9c	1,046$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.68	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57ad…698bbacked Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	9c	963.82$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.33	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over	3c	833.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	40.6%65 W · 95 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over	15c	776.19$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.05	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	11c	714.28$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.26	384	37%142 W · 242 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x340b…3efbbacked Over	3c	627$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.81	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efe…d987backed Over	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	4c	600$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	363	29.8%108 W · 255 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	6c	589.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.86	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c3…7e69backed Over	18c	569.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Over	9c	555.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	81	19.8%16 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	20c	555.42$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.46	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed Over	15c	500$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.5	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	24cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc92…7e4abacked Over	16c	455.88$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.94	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over	18c	383.42$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.72	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	14c	379.52$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.18	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over	3c	366.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Over	15c	357.23$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.63	124	37.1%46 W · 78 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over	8c	351.06$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.31	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	10c	350$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.04	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over	17c	346$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.82	269	21.6%58 W · 211 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over	3c	334.57$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over	12c	321.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.81	155	35.5%55 W · 100 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Over	15c	300.98$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.45	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	4c	290$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	116	31.9%37 W · 79 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51bd…2871backed Over	10c	248.06$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Over	16c	243.32$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	128	54.7%70 W · 58 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Over	9c	222.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed Over	12c	200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over	17c	199.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	524	55%288 W · 236 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	72	19.4%14 W · 58 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over	14c	160.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over	7c	157.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	464	45.5%211 W · 253 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…89ebbacked Over	12c	153.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x817c…2390backed Over	17c	144.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over	14c	137.68$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8095…d7abbacked Over	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde70…615fbacked Over	18c	94.97$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c24…8571backed Over	16c	90.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c7…0367backed Over	16c	87.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc2…bf53backed Over	19c	76.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	17c	62.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	285	45.3%129 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20d1…bc47backed Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Over	17c	60$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	143	35.7%51 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5this page
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event