Spread: United States (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa154758b650b1a264703c5131e62a19f7470c6b6386524f22df39911faa082ca

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: United Statesof United States, Paraguay
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,116,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,290,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,116,537 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Paraguay	70c	139,774$97,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97,324.77	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed United States	30c	106,971$32,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,348.19	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Paraguay	77c	102,246$78,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,729.58	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed United States	31c	81,766$25,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,709.35	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Paraguay	43c	70,935$30,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,825.94	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed United States	23c	65,878$15,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,782.34	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked United States	23c	50,978$11,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,270.44	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Paraguay	77c	37,575$28,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,932.71	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Paraguay	76c	28,475$21,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,602.38	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Paraguay	77c	25,000$19,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,249.96	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked United States	23c	23,235$5,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,866.14	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Paraguay	78c	22,333$17,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,419.71	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe733…8ed4backed United States	23c	21,739$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,739.13	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Paraguay	2c	21,413$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.82	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Paraguay	77c	21,149$16,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,284.39	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked United States	22c	20,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,599.95	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed United States	23c	15,000$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,600	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Paraguay	78c	12,672$9,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,875.89	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Paraguay	77c	10,949$8,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,430.52	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed United States	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,799.96	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked United States	63c	9,217$5,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,430.93	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Paraguay	78c	8,036$6,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,268.39	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked United States	45c	7,846$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,345.87	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Paraguay	78c	6,000$4,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,680	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Paraguay	77c	6,000$4,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,619.82	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed United States	22c	5,800$1,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,524	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Paraguay	77c	5,541$4,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,288.08	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed United States	22c	5,119$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,993.15	246	35.8%88 W · 158 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Paraguay	78c	5,095$3,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,970.15	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked United States	22c	4,545$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,545.38	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Paraguay	77c	4,500$3,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,465	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Paraguay	77c	4,487$3,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,454.66	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked United States	23c	4,348$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,347.83	65	16.9%11 W · 54 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed United States	23c	4,348$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,347.83	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed United States	25c	4,128$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,114.11	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5da9…f4c3backed United States	22c	4,091$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,190.91	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed United States	23c	4,087$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,146.82	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Paraguay	78c	4,000$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.98	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed United States	30c	3,841$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,686.36	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Paraguay	78c	3,757$2,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,922.25	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Paraguay	56c	3,537$1,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,989.79	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Paraguay	77c	3,265$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,519.7	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed United States	23c	3,222$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,480.94	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed United States	23c	3,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,310	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38d7…261bbacked Paraguay	78c	3,000$2,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,340	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed United States	23c	3,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,310	159	37.7%60 W · 99 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed United States	22c	2,810$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,185.7	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed United States	24c	2,671$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,023.99	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Paraguay	77c	2,588$1,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.01	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac9…1a8dbacked United States	49c	2,267$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.86	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Paraguay	61c	2,259$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.78	128	54.7%70 W · 58 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Paraguay	78c	2,200$1,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,704.97	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed United States	23c	2,174$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,673.91	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked United States	23c	2,174$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,673.91	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Paraguay	60c	2,082$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249	142	31.7%45 W · 97 L	-13.4wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked United States	23c	2,047$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,576.41	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed United States	22c	2,000$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,559.9	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked United States	72c	1,962$1,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.04	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paraguay	10c	1,879$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.1	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Paraguay	76c	1,855$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410.14	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed United States	52c	1,817$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.92	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Paraguay	52c	1,781$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.55	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed United States	63c	1,576$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.95	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0834…b743backed United States	23c	1,575$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,212.95	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Paraguay	78c	1,537$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.54	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed United States	22c	1,514$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180.64	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+6.7wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Paraguay	77c	1,500$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.98	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paraguay	18c	1,478$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.19	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Paraguay	78c	1,428$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113.5	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed United States	43c	1,395$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.35	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Paraguay	66c	1,323$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.13	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked United States	23c	1,300$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+94.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Paraguay	78c	1,282$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	389	24.4%95 W · 294 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Paraguay	77c	1,253$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.79	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed United States	22c	1,252$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.35	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Paraguay	19c	1,244$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.44	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b84…48e3backed Paraguay	77c	1,233$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.32	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Paraguay	76c	1,221$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.92	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Paraguay	59c	1,205$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed United States	42c	1,190$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.48	266	44%117 W · 149 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed United States	75c	1,190$897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.79	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22c8…7a54backed United States	22c	1,174$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.65	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed United States	28c	1,161$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.4	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked United States	23c	1,136$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.75	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Paraguay	77c	1,123$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.37	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Paraguay	57c	1,100$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce8…e713backed United States	23c	1,087$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.96	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed United States	33c	1,070$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.46	341	44.3%151 W · 190 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed United States	23c	1,045$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.45	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Paraguay	19c	1,041$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.83	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed United States	74c	1,026$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.3	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe11f…81cebacked United States	24c	1,010$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed United States	41c	1,000$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked United States	22c	1,000$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed United States	23c	1,000$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed Paraguay	78c	1,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Paraguay	77c	961.32$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.25	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed United States	78c	959$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.77	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa9…9a60backed United States	23c	956.52$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.52	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b87…8a0dbacked Paraguay	14c	954.64$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.65	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: United States (-1.5)this page
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: United States (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event