Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45458c53ee6c6d2a5aab966703d5da6506e39b1650314a71ff2227efee9d7e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $555,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 661 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 57,278$32,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,512.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 46c | 53,000$24,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,620 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 47,579$27,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,572.81 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed No | 54c | 32,285$17,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,433.98 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 1c | 30,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 54c | 24,000$12,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,959.96 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…6214backed No | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 15,007$6,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,144.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 54c | 11,667$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.19 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 11,478$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.05 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No | 53c | 10,067$5,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.74 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked No | 54c | 9,657$5,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,192.22 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 66c | 7,596$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.93 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 7,426$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.79 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 48c | 7,238$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.66 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes | 50c | 7,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.99 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4decbacked Yes | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.88 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 6,371$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.48 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 6,051$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.65 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 5,915$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.96 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed No | 11c | 5,387$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.94 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…f420backed No | 8c | 5,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked No | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed No | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.73 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 51c | 4,999$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.57 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed No | 4c | 4,800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 2c | 4,737$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,731$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.75 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Yes | 44c | 4,717$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.68 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 10c | 4,406$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.4 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed No | 3c | 4,200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…3e17backed No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…9cf9backed No | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…0064backed Yes | 46c | 3,639$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes | 46c | 3,392$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.42 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 63c | 3,367$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.27 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 2c | 3,300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed No | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked No | 9c | 3,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed No | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 41c | 2,951$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.94 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…1f2ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 36c | 2,791$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.66 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked No | 54c | 2,614$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.34 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,451$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.15 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44f…fff1backed No | 8c | 2,400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…bc0abacked No | 9c | 2,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Yes | 45c | 2,038$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.87 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.09 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked Yes | 56c | 1,999$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.59 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed No | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 55c | 1,862$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.85 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 49c | 1,774$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.73 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 55c | 1,772$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.87 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 52c | 1,730$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.6 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,643$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.25 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 68c | 1,605$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.23 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -19.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked No | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed No | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +327.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 53c | 1,466$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.15 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 54c | 1,444$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 26c | 1,409$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.79 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 46c | 1,230$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.56 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 46c | 1,208$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.24 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 39c | 1,200$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…6907backed Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed No | 54c | 1,126$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.79 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…6097backed Yes | 44c | 1,114$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.93 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed No | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.87 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…5c3dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 1,072$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,055$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.62 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 47c | 1,032$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.91 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,027$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.46 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Yes | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 45c | 1,008$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 63c | 1,002$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.51 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 46c | 999.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 54c | 999.77$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.38 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 43c | 999.47$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.47 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Yes | 46c | 992.78$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.1 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes | 46c | 936.96$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.96 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 31c | 930.47$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.33 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 51c | 923.67$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.07 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 918.64$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.45 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 53c | 899.99$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.99 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.