TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,095 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8532…738bbacked No59c3,184$1,875 inWon+$1,308.8713046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes13c3,057$397 inLost-$396.73,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c1,834$274 inLost-$273.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes42c1,203$501 inLost-$500.562,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes42c1,188$494 inLost-$494.472,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed No59c1,163$687 inWon+$475.637153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes15c1,038$154 inLost-$154.232,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes41c958.68$393 inLost-$393.313,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed No74c810.81$600 inWon+$210.8117751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd234…1589backed Yes14c710.87$100 inLost-$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed No56c620$347 inWon+$272.86253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked No55c442$245 inWon+$196.918062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb9f…8016backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes15c266.67$40 inLost-$4030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c233.16$28 inLost-$27.524,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes15c222.2$33 inLost-$33.333740.5%15 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ab…472bbacked Yes16c210$34 inLost-$33.61216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b1c…8621backed Yes15c200$30 inLost-$303810.5%4 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes44c199$88 inLost-$87.561,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes13c151.44$20 inLost-$20.2380225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$209135.2%32 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$2020729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed No62c130$80 inWon+$50.046446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed No78c100$78 inWon+$2216165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Yes14c99.99$14 inLost-$1432928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Yes15c97.4$15 inLost-$14.6114939.6%59 W · 90 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4f…4ac8backed Yes21c95.83$20 inLost-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c23…9788backed Yes16c85.19$14 inLost-$13.633537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No63c72$45 inWon+$26.647346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0409…754cbacked Yes16c68.75$11 inLost-$11425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37e…5411backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost-$10160%0 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost-$108042.5%34 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes44c46.75$21 inLost-$20.572,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed No70c20$14 inWon+$621439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.