United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9568247638f3e0fc8d08e87b16bc736997413e3433cca09a58144750abecf538

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $112,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,711 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	40c	65,120$26,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,344.58	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over	73c	20,435$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,434.9	145	42.1%61 W · 84 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x235b…af09backed Over	66c	18,000$11,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,120	15	40%6 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	18c	8,720$1,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,155.57	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	55c	8,437$4,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,806.78	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Over	63c	4,502$2,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,665.67	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over	16c	2,500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	47c	1,576$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.89	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a2a…ce84backed Over	65c	1,531$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.69	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	69c	1,423$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.59	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over	36c	1,109$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.86	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	65c	948.44$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under	62c	861$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.82	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under	41c	825.23$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.24	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over	28c	765$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.8	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over	15c	666.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.67	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under	79c	637.24$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.42	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc87a…a256backed Over	65c	565.03$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.84	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	36c	543.67$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.95	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb136…c3cabacked Over	69c	514.31$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.94	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Over	69c	507.25$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.25	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over	15c	500$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over	64c	499.99$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Over	15c	466.67$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.67	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over	38c	450$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279	190	39.5%75 W · 115 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over	38c	450$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279	190	39.5%75 W · 115 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Over	67c	448.33$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.33	107	62.6%67 W · 40 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a09…f868backed Over	67c	423.19$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.65	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb42b…afe0backed Over	38c	412.41$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.75	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	34c	407.97$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.48	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over	16c	400$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	66c	378.09$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.85	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	58c	361.02$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.12	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over	15c	345.6$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.76	142	35.2%50 W · 92 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	65c	341.67$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.38	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	15c	312.63$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.59	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1606…9a7cbacked Over	32c	308.18$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.18	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	75c	308$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.67	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over	34c	300$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Over	36c	271.03$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.46	109	31.2%34 W · 75 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	31c	255.96$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.58	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Under	38c	255.88$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.41	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	37c	236.18$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.23	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5a…d76fbacked Over	16c	214.94$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.55	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over	18c	200$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad2…3bb3backed Over	61c	180$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.6	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over	62c	160$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.8	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over	69c	159.07$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.31	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3c1…13cabacked Over	68c	147.18$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.18	16	93.8%15 W · 1 L	+4.6wins	+0.29per pick	65cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x80c9…0a29backed Over	15c	146.27$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.33	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a96…69debacked Over	17c	141.59$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.59	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51c8…7ff7backed Over	67c	127.31$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.31	48	68.8%33 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over	62c	121.29$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.09	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3510…d3bdbacked Over	14c	120$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.2	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	39c	108$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.24	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	62c	91.94$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c7…0367backed Over	17c	90.64$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.64	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over	45c	77.78$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.68	155	35.5%55 W · 100 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06aa…fbf3backed Over	66c	76.22$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.22	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f2…3501backed Over	68c	74.03$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.03	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over	69c	73.81$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.88	90	55.6%50 W · 40 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	64c	64.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.58	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under	63c	62.39$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.15	197	34.5%68 W · 129 L	-12.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	38c	60$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	198	38.4%76 W · 122 L	-18.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x885e…08b8backed Over	36c	59.83$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.29	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46f…0e0fbacked Over	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	162	62.3%101 W · 61 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x498c…eeabbacked Over	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ed…8168backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bce…3948backed Over	66c	45.58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	125	59.2%74 W · 51 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…bf19backed Over	66c	45.58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	107	69.2%74 W · 33 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe85c…65b9backed Over	66c	45.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.45	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	19cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeee4…241abacked Over	66c	45.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.45	44	70.5%31 W · 13 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under	70c	43.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.31	242	57.9%140 W · 102 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a1…49c7backed Over	67c	37.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	64cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00f2…a671backed Over	68c	36.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.55	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…17adbacked Under	47c	31.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b2…21c6backed Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+187.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under	45c	31.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.96	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c3…38bcbacked Under	63c	30.77$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Over	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd849…206ebacked Over	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf70a…7710backed Over	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Over	70c	28.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.67	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-23%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb162…809ebacked Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453d…18ebbacked Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.34per pick	41cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4427…8b4dbacked Over	67c	27.49$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a48…3e67backed Over	66c	26$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.84	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8815…5295backed Over	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d32…d009backed Over	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.98	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Over	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	146	41.8%61 W · 85 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf327…c995backed Over	63c	19.98$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.39	92	23.9%22 W · 70 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over	65c	17.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	272	51.8%141 W · 131 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…c522backed Over	59c	17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	72	50%36 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf044…a745backed Over	70c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.43	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)United States won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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