TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x397e…17ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.14
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$9.75
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$16.53
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$69.55
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$43.62
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$29.2
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$143.01
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$14.22
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$6.94
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$6.06
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.57
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Scotland (-2.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.61
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.8
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.36
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.71
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.51
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$15.86
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$6.2
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$8.05
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$82.71
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$7.06
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$15.84
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$11.57
Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.46
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$7.22
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$10.83
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$8.66
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$42.21
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.48
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Feverbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-8.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+586.3%+$117.27
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$140.56
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$110.52
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$11.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$11.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.