WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0bcb77b4ec653b91ce016207fc8f1c2561711eef95ba62f7770a76c6bb11293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Toronto Tempo, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 59,621$30,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,610.55 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 47,344$23,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,672 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Connecticut Sun | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 40c | 7,389$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.68 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 5,606$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 1,763$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.49 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 1,532$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.41 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.69 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Connecticut Sun | 64c | 844.01$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.01 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 712.58$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.04 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 588.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 586.48$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 534.44$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.53 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 460$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 449.55$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.66 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 396.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 163.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 159.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…f1e9backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Toronto Tempo | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…7360backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 83.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Toronto Tempo | 32c | 62.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Connecticut Sun | 63c | 47.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Connecticut Sun | 56c | 40.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Connecticut Sun | 56c | 39.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 33.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Connecticut Sun | 58c | 33.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…650abacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 29.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 27.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…e8b1backed Connecticut Sun | 62c | 26.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 22.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…17adbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-8.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 168.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.