WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1af7a96ada077b001f70fea935e729c9972253cc3448f0566558b89a612035c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 58c | 2,568$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 1,361$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.01 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 46c | 896.9$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.23 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 43c | 797.22$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.79 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 48c | 744.99$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 698.04$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 656.91$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.41 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 347.49$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…b02fbacked Under | 10c | 307.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 51c | 292.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 28c | 243.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 40c | 222.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 194.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 7c | 189.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 127.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Under | 42c | 120.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 114.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 81.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…6da8backed Under | 58c | 62.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 59.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 52c | 51.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 45.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 50c | 43.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…95d1backed Under | 54c | 39.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 52c | 26.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 53c | 20.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.