WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b5094c8d9ea551af3ad08d7b12f63c622c9b73f8d1e224616b4e55a83097e95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.97 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 9,380$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Over | 53c | 3,340$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 2,730$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.04 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 47c | 2,689$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 962.52$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.38 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Under | 49c | 611.18$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 53c | 447.17$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 314.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 243.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 223$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 217$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 150.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 49.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 47c | 36.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…c288backed Under | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 168.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-8.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.