AI · resolved market
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e790f014505c39871850bc24dc20627fee82dc20e494434b19d70b52f873f23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 46c | 3,236$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.59 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…9e9abacked Yes | 34c | 1,590$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,278$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.12 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 1,048$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.6 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 65c | 784.53$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.72 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 65c | 677.24$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.54 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 65c | 655.4$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.42 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 22c | 647.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.45 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 41c | 528.58$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.37 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…5f09backed Yes | 66c | 451.12$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 50c | 440$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 29c | 379.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 44c | 370.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 71c | 348.45$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…9999backed No | 32c | 347.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 25c | 293$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 285.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 26c | 274.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…8eb0backed Yes | 37c | 239.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 74c | 238$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 26c | 229.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 26c | 222$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 74c | 208$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 11c | 207.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 54c | 201.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 77c | 180.63$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 17c | 180$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 50c | 178.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 62c | 166$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfd…ccc8backed Yes | 38c | 151.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…17adbacked Yes | 15c | 137.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 132.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…5d15backed Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 30c | 91.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 31c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed No | 37c | 85.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 57c | 82.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 37c | 76.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 22c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…5136backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…3794backed Yes | 34c | 58.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7feabacked Yes | 61c | 53.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 34c | 52.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 66c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 30c | 47.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 37c | 46.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5195…44ebbacked Yes | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 37c | 40.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…dd8abacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…5bd4backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…28f8backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…d0e5backed No | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 75c | 39.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 72c | 34.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 47c | 33.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…64a4backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cc…3097backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 56c | 19.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…680bbacked Yes | 69c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?this page
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.