MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x539f3d8f8bc3c783f01ba385007f2fc07891f7fca78a3467e9e10b487d576a0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Atlanta Braves, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,108,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,169,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,108,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 602,220$318,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318,841.2 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 120,000$56,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,599.86 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 118,336$55,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,717.82 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 72,221$34,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,610.46 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 40,211$21,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,426.27 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 38,618$18,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,467.61 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 23,079$11,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,075.36 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 22,222$10,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,777.65 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 20,916$14,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,965.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 14c | 20,661$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 20,617$11,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,169.88 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 15,186$7,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 15,087$7,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,995.86 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 14,674$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 12,309$7,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,242.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 12,271$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 10,027$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,562.35 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 8,819$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.8 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 7,621$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 28c | 6,943$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Atlanta Braves | 21c | 6,538$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.52 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 23c | 6,280$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.94 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 5,316$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.32 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 5,273$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 5,209$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.58 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 5,158$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 4,282$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.51 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,206$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.18 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 4,099$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 3,334$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.68 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 3,230$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.92 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 3,168$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.72 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 3,104$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.5 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Padres | 75c | 3,072$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.03 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,020$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Atlanta Braves | 16c | 2,938$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,831$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.99 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 2,489$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.52 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 2,352$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.98 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,331$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.35 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 2,308$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.75 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,298$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.88 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…cce9backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,181$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 2,083$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.97 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 2,079$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.07 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 1,996$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.45 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 1,967$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,821$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.69 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,775$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.93 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,691$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.11 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 77c | 1,667$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.27 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,489$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.59 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 1,444$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,302$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.28 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,299$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.45 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,262$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.43 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,260$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.55 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,257$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.21 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Atlanta Braves | 23c | 1,254$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.06 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Atlanta Braves | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,119$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.23 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,060$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,037$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.47 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 1,010$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.3 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 980.32$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 960$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 842.22$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.97 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 833.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.34 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 657.47$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.11 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 627.65$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 585.18$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.04 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 570$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 555.44$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.31 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 554.45$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.01 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Atlanta Braves | 21c | 554.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 528.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 517.77$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.56 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…37b5backed Atlanta Braves | 15c | 506.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.