MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa97cd3dc583acf70e8b4d03f41b7d1302f0efd50a39254c7e1d02ca4f651c06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 46c | 29,912$13,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,183.84 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 30c | 23,867$7,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,067.9 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 9,045$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 54c | 5,476$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.8 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 49c | 5,296$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.66 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under | 52c | 5,100$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 3,890$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 60c | 2,799$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.49 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 77c | 2,598$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.17 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 2,159$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.66 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 54c | 2,021$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.56 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 1,951$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.39 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…a4f5backed Over | 19c | 1,270$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 78c | 1,257$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 1,204$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Over | 23c | 1,069$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 71c | 1,016$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 54c | 994.55$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.05 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 989$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 54c | 934.25$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 825$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 746.2$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.41 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 62c | 667.94$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.94 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 54c | 655.02$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.71 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 599.96$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 565$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 555.7$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 34c | 450$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 54c | 448.55$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.22 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 49c | 448$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Over | 32c | 425.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 46c | 383.81$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 24c | 345$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 36c | 335$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 7c | 282.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 243.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Under | 55c | 236.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Over | 23c | 231.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 47c | 223.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 29c | 202$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 11c | 180.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 63c | 170.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 47c | 169.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 47c | 149.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 62c | 128$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 69c | 126.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 45c | 123.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 45c | 115.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 65c | 112.42$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 56c | 111$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 47c | 105.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 37c | 104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 28c | 103.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 40c | 98.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 24c | 97.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Over | 24c | 97.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 24c | 92.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 75c | 90.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Over | 48c | 90.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 47c | 89.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Over | 54c | 82.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…d620backed Under | 79c | 82.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 67.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 24c | 67.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 76c | 56.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 54c | 56.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 55c | 56.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 54c | 55.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 62c | 52.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 78c | 51.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 47c | 48.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 64c | 46.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 51c | 45.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 41c | 40.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 39.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 63c | 38.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9871…3096backed Over | 54c | 38.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…91ccbacked Under | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 47c | 35.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 48c | 33.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Over | 56c | 31.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 47c | 28.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.