MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3260de5ae9935d6976ea1c378d06a8e81f9ae8b72b9d4ae77f5ab93d92c5a4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,670,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,444,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,670,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 760,361$394,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366,061.48 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 638,806$307,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307,626.71 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 65,823$31,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,517.94 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 25,235$12,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,113.03 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 21,614$11,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,456.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 19,591$9,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,423.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 18,028$8,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,974.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 12,821$6,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,178.31 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 10,425$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.97 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 8,259$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 8,167$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 6,521$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 6,385$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.42 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 5,707$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 5,120$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.29 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 4,395$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 4,200$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.18 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 3,758$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 3,675$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.8 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 3,596$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.96 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,062$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.46 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,830$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.21 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,729$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.87 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,568$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.32 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,527$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.38 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,458$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,327$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…2de1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,161$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.63 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 961$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 728.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.91 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 716.24$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 581.26$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 570$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 560.57$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.07 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 520$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 500$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 480.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.68 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 480.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 460$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4654…7b37backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 308.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 300$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 252.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 250.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cc…1bb5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 248.42$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 230$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…4a05backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 213.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 202.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 199.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…764fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…27dcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 179.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…17adbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 172.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 158.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 155.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 143.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 132.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…dffebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 121.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 120.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 109.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 101.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.